Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

-19
CLS Score

Charlotte Hornets can't seem to close games. 44 wins when their point differential predicts closer to 46.4. Not catastrophic, but the margins have consistently fallen the wrong way. Expect positive regression.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

44
Wins
Expected: 46.4
9513
Points For
9117
Points Against
2.4
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 10 · 2025-11-11 · vs Los Angeles Lakers · at home
111-121
Lost at home against Los Angeles Lakers

Lost 111-121 to Los Angeles Lakers despite winning the efficiency battle 64% to 58% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

64.1%
Team eFG%
57.8%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW10 · 2025-11-11 · vs Los Angeles Lakers · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 111-121 to Los Angeles Lakers despite winning the efficiency battle 64% to 58% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 111-121 | eFG%: 64.1-57.8
MW37 · 2026-01-08 · vs Toronto Raptors · Home-0.6 pts
Lost 96-97 to Toronto Raptors shooting just 48% eFG (-7.8 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 96-97 | eFG%: 47.6-45.1
MW54 · 2026-02-10 · vs Detroit Pistons · Home-0.6 pts
Lost to Detroit Pistons 104-110. Shot 53% eFG vs their 50%.
Score: 104-110 | eFG%: 53-50

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW66 · 2026-03-11 · vs Portland Trail Blazers · Away+0.7 pts
Stole it from Portland Trail Blazers 103-101 despite being outshot 47% to 52% eFG. Portland Trail Blazers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 103-101 | eFG%: 46.6-51.8
MW50 · 2026-01-31 · vs San Antonio Spurs · Home+0.7 pts
Beat San Antonio Spurs 111-106. Shot 52% eFG vs their 56%.
Score: 111-106 | eFG%: 51.7-55.6
MW67 · 2026-03-12 · vs Sacramento Kings · Away+0.6 pts
Beat Sacramento Kings 117-109. Shot 56% eFG vs their 59%.
Score: 117-109 | eFG%: 56.1-59

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
2 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
-17.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (200 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
-1.6
Total CLS-19

Rank Per Signal

Where Charlotte Hornets ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

9
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
-17.4
12
Injury Burden
1
30
-1.6

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Charlotte Hornets have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
15-26
0.4% win rate
Second Half
29-12
0.7% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
-1pp
Point differential decline
-9.8pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
11%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -19, Charlotte Hornets are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 2 wins below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available