Minnesota Wild CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →
+9
CLS Score
14th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Wild are getting roughly what their play deserves. 104 points vs 103.8 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
104
Points
Expected: 103.8
272
Goals For
240
Goals Against
0.2
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 15 · 2025-11-06 · vs Hurricanes · away
4-3
Lost away against Hurricanes
Lost 3-4 against Carolina Hurricanes. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm15 · 2025-11-06 · vs Hurricanes · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Carolina Hurricanes. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm51 · 2026-01-20 · vs Canadiens · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm79 · 2026-04-09 · vs Stars · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm77 · 2026-04-05 · vs Red Wings · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Detroit Red Wings 5-4. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Gm69 · 2026-03-17 · vs Blackhawks · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm58 · 2026-02-04 · vs Predators · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Nashville Predators 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+8.3
Close Games
20-17 in one-goal games (54% win rate vs expected 50%)
+5.4
Shootout Record
4-5 in shootouts (net -1)
-3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (15 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-2.8
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
+1.1
Total CLS+9
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Wild are right where they belong. Their CLS of +9 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available