Detroit Red Wings

Detroit Red Wings CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

+28
CLS Score
8th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Red Wings have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+31.4 CLS impact). 6 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

92
Points
Expected: 86.1
241
Goals For
258
Goals Against
5.9
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 23 · 2025-11-24 · vs Devils · away
4-3
Lost away against Devils

Lost 3-4 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm23 · 2025-11-24 · vs Devils · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm65 · 2026-03-10 · vs Panthers · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Florida Panthers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm77 · 2026-04-05 · vs Wild · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Minnesota Wild. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm50 · 2026-01-18 · vs Senators · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Ottawa Senators 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm47 · 2026-01-12 · vs Hurricanes · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm38 · 2025-12-23 · vs Stars · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Dallas Stars 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 more points than their goal differential predicts
+31.4
Shootout Record
2-4 in shootouts (net -2)
-7.1
Close Games
18-15 in one-goal games (55% win rate vs expected 50%)
+5.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (9 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-1.3
OT Loss Rate
10 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
-0.8
Total CLS+28

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Red Wings are riding their luck at +28. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available