Detroit Red Wings

Detroit Red Wings CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

+28
CLS Score
7th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Red Wings have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+40.4 CLS impact). 6 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

92
Points
Expected: 86.1
241
Goals For
258
Goals Against
5.9
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 more points than their goal differential predicts
+40.4
Shootout Record
2-4 in shootouts (net -2)
-9.2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (9 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-2.2
OT Loss Rate
10 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
-1
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+28

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Red Wings are riding their luck at +28. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming. Their next 5 opponents average 19th in the league - a favorable stretch. An easier run might delay the dip, but the numbers say it's coming.

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