Detroit Red Wings

Detroit Red Wings CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+38
CLS Score

Detroit Red Wings have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

92
Points
Expected: 86.1
241
Goals For
258
Goals Against
5.9
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 23 · 2025-11-24 · vs New Jersey Devils · away
3-4
Lost away against New Jersey Devils

Lost 3-4 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW23 · 2025-11-24 · vs New Jersey Devils · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW65 · 2026-03-10 · vs Florida Panthers · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Florida Panthers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW77 · 2026-04-05 · vs Minnesota Wild · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Minnesota Wild. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW50 · 2026-01-18 · vs Ottawa Senators · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Ottawa Senators 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW47 · 2026-01-12 · vs Carolina Hurricanes · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW38 · 2025-12-23 · vs Dallas Stars · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Dallas Stars 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 more points than their goal differential predicts
+30
Injury Burden
High injury burden (163 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+10.1
Shootout Record
2-4 in shootouts (net -2)
-6.8
Close Games
18-15 in one-goal games (55% win rate vs expected 50%)
+5.5
OT Loss Rate
10 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
-0.8
Total CLS+38

Rank Per Signal

Where Detroit Red Wings ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

10
Shootout Record
1
32
-6.8
15
OT Loss Rate
1
32
-0.8
23
Close Games
1
32
+5.5
30
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+30
32
Injury Burden
1
32
+10.1

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Detroit Red Wings are riding their luck at +38. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available