Detroit Red Wings CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
-10
CLS Score
3rd unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Red Wings are getting roughly what their play deserves. 2 points vs 2.9 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
2
Points
Expected: 2.9
7
Goals For
8
Goals Against
0.9
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-04 · vs Jets · at home
3-2
Lost at home against Jets
Lost 2-3 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
2
Goals
3
Opp. Goals
-0.8
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-04 · vs Jets · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-06 · vs Senators · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Ottawa Senators 5-3.
Score: 5-3
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-4.3
Close Games
0-1 in one-goal games (0% win rate vs expected 50%)
-2.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (19 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-1.9
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-10
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Red Wings are right where they belong. Their CLS of -10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 21th in the league - a favorable stretch.