D Backs Articles
14 pieces of CURSD analysis
🏆 Cross-Sport·October 18, 2026
Regression Watch: The 2026 Season's Biggest Luck Debts, Now Due
The regular season is over, and the variance ledger is wide open.
🏆 Cross-Sport·October 11, 2026
Regression Watch: The 2026 Season's Biggest Luck Divergences, Explained
The Tigers finished 12.6 points below expected. The Rays overshot by nearly eight. The postseason won't care.
🏆 Cross-Sport·October 4, 2026
The Ledger Doesn't Lie: MLB's Biggest Luck Gaps of 2026
The regular season is over, but the underlying numbers tell a different story than the final standings.
🏆 Cross-Sport·September 27, 2026
Regression Watch: The Giants Are 6.5 Wins Below Their Expected Record and September Isn't Waiting
MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into the final week, and what the underlying numbers actually say.
🏆 Cross-Sport·September 20, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 12.6 Points Below Expected and September Is Running Out
MLB's biggest luck gaps heading into the final stretch, and what the underlying numbers actually show.
🏆 Cross-Sport·September 13, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 11.8 Points Below Expected and September Is Running Out
Detroit's luck index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.
🏆 Cross-Sport·September 6, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 11.5 Points Below Their Expected Record, and the Rays Are Riding the Luckiest Stretch in Baseball
MLB's luck index finds six teams whose records are lying to the standings.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 30, 2026
Regression Watch: The Giants Are 4.8 Points Underwater and the Rays Are Floating on Air
MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into September, and what the numbers say is coming.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 23, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 12 Points Below Expected and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's luck index sits at -64, the most extreme gap in baseball right now.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 16, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 10 Wins Below Expectation and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index of -58 leads MLB's most extreme correction candidates heading into late August.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 9, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 10.7 Wins Below Where They Should Be
Detroit's luck index of -57 leads a week of extreme variance signals across MLB.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 2, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets and Tigers Are Playing Better Than You Think
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline paint a different picture than the standings.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 26, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets Are Drowning in Bad Luck, the Rays Are Surfing on Thin Air
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline, and why the standings aren't telling the whole story.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 5, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 52 Points Unlucky and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.