Dallas Stars

Dallas Stars CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+33
CLS Score

Dallas Stars have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

112
Points
Expected: 111.5
279
Goals For
226
Goals Against
0.5
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 41 · 2026-01-01 · vs Chicago Blackhawks · away
3-4
Lost away against Chicago Blackhawks

Lost 3-4 against Chicago Blackhawks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW41 · 2026-01-01 · vs Chicago Blackhawks · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Chicago Blackhawks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW4 · 2025-10-16 · vs Vancouver Canucks · Home-0.8 pts
Lost to Vancouver Canucks 3-5.
Score: 3-5
MW14 · 2025-11-06 · vs Anaheim Ducks · Home-0.8 pts
Lost to Anaheim Ducks 5-7.
Score: 5-7

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW82 · 2026-04-15 · vs Buffalo Sabres · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW81 · 2026-04-13 · vs Toronto Maple Leafs · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 6-5. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
MW79 · 2026-04-09 · vs Minnesota Wild · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Minnesota Wild 5-4. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Games
28-18 in one-goal games (61% win rate vs expected 50%)
+13.8
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+11.8
Shootout Record
6-4 in shootouts (net +2)
+4.9
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+2.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (269 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
0
Total CLS+33

Rank Per Signal

Where Dallas Stars ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

15
Injury Burden
1
32
0
16
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+2.5
21
Shootout Record
1
32
+4.9
26
Close Games
1
32
+13.8
28
OT Loss Rate
1
32
+11.8

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Dallas Stars are riding their luck at +33. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available