Dallas Stars CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
-10
CLS Score
2nd unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Stars are getting roughly what their play deserves. 2 points vs 3.3 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
2
Points
Expected: 3.3
6
Goals For
6
Goals Against
1.3
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Predators · away
2-1
Lost away against Predators
Lost 1-2 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
1
Goals
2
Opp. Goals
-0.7
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Predators · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 1-2 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 1-2
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-6
Close Games
0-1 in one-goal games (0% win rate vs expected 50%)
-2.7
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-0.9
Injury Burden
High injury burden (12 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.4
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-10
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Stars are right where they belong. Their CLS of -10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 17th).