Dallas Stars CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
+20
CLS Score
10th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Stars have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: OT Loss Rate (+15.9 CLS impact). 12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
112
Points
Expected: 111.5
279
Goals For
226
Goals Against
0.5
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+15.9
Shootout Record
6-4 in shootouts (net +2)
+6.6
Injury Burden
High injury burden (12 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-6
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+3.5
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+20
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Stars are riding their luck at +20. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.