St. Louis Blues CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
+20
CLS Score
11th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Blues have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+26.6 CLS impact). 4 more points than their goal differential predicts
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
86
Points
Expected: 82.2
231
Goals For
258
Goals Against
3.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
4 more points than their goal differential predicts
+26.6
Shootout Record
1-4 in shootouts (net -3)
-15.2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+6.7
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+1.9
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+20
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Blues are riding their luck at +20. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.