St. Louis Blues CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 6 games played · View NHL standings →
-5
CLS Score
12th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Blues are getting roughly what their play deserves. 7 points vs 7.5 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
7
Points
Expected: 7.5
21
Goals For
18
Goals Against
0.5
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 3 · 2026-10-06 · vs Blackhawks · away
4-2
Lost away against Blackhawks
Lost to Chicago Blackhawks 2-4.
2
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.7
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-06 · vs Blackhawks · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to Chicago Blackhawks 2-4.
Score: 2-4
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Avalanche · Away-0.3 pts
Blown out by Colorado Avalanche 1-6. Tough night.
Score: 1-6
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm5 · 2026-10-10 · vs Blue Jackets · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Columbus Blue Jackets 5-3.
Score: 5-3
Gm6 · 2026-10-13 · vs Senators · Away+0.4 pts
Dominated Ottawa Senators 7-2. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 7-2
Gm4 · 2026-10-08 · vs Sharks · Home+0.2 pts
Lost 2-3 in OT/SO against San Jose Sharks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Close Games
0-1 in one-goal games (0% win rate vs expected 50%)
-2.5
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
-2.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (18 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-1.4
OT Loss Rate
1 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
+1.3
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-5
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|76 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Blues are right where they belong. Their CLS of -5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 9th in the league - a tough run.