St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

+10
CLS Score
13th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Blues are getting roughly what their play deserves. 86 points vs 82.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

86
Points
Expected: 82.2
231
Goals For
258
Goals Against
3.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 53 · 2026-01-27 · vs Stars · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Stars

Lost 3-4 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm53 · 2026-01-27 · vs Stars · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm56 · 2026-02-02 · vs Predators · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 5-6 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 5-6
Gm57 · 2026-02-04 · vs Stars · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm54 · 2026-01-29 · vs Panthers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Florida Panthers 5-4. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Gm42 · 2026-01-02 · vs Golden Knights · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm30 · 2025-12-07 · vs Canadiens · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Montréal Canadiens 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
4 more points than their goal differential predicts
+19.8
Shootout Record
1-4 in shootouts (net -3)
-11.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+5.1
Close Games
18-21 in one-goal games (46% win rate vs expected 50%)
-5
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+1.5
Total CLS+10

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Blues are right where they belong. Their CLS of +10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available