Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+48
CLS Score

Detroit Pistons are riding the coin flips. 60 wins from 54 expected — that 6-game gap is the kind of luck that doesn't last. When the close-game variance evens out, the record follows.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

60
Wins
Expected: 54
9657
Points For
8988
Points Against
6
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 19 · 2025-11-29 · vs Orlando Magic · at home
109-112
Lost at home against Orlando Magic

Lost 109-112 to Orlando Magic despite winning the efficiency battle 51% to 44% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

50.6%
Team eFG%
43.8%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW19 · 2025-11-29 · vs Orlando Magic · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 109-112 to Orlando Magic despite winning the efficiency battle 51% to 44% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 109-112 | eFG%: 50.6-43.8
MW31 · 2025-12-27 · vs Utah Jazz · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 129-131 to Utah Jazz as they shot 59% eFG and hit 18/38 from three, well above their 54% season average. Got shot out of the building.
Score: 129-131 | eFG%: 62-58.9
MW34 · 2026-01-02 · vs Miami Heat · Home-0.6 pts
Lost to Miami Heat 112-118. Shot 53% eFG vs their 51%.
Score: 112-118 | eFG%: 53.1-50.5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW11 · 2025-11-11 · vs Washington Wizards · Home+0.9 pts
Stole it from Washington Wizards 137-135 despite being outshot 47% to 61% eFG. Washington Wizards were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 137-135 | eFG%: 46.9-60.5
MW58 · 2026-02-28 · vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Cleveland Cavaliers 122-119 in a 3-point game. Both teams shot near their season averages; this one came down to the final possessions.
Score: 122-119 | eFG%: 49-52.7
MW45 · 2026-01-28 · vs Denver Nuggets · Away+0.7 pts
Beat Denver Nuggets 109-107 as they shot 54% eFG (-4.0 below their season average). Defensive luck, opponent couldn't find their shot.
Score: 109-107 | eFG%: 50-53.6

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+44.1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (132 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+3.9
Total CLS+48

Rank Per Signal

Where Detroit Pistons ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

22
Injury Burden
1
30
+3.9
28
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+44.1

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Detroit Pistons have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
31-10
0.8% win rate
Second Half
29-13
0.7% win rate
Win rate decline
0pp
Close game collapse
0pp
Point differential decline
-1.3pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
5%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At +48, Detroit Pistons are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available