Chicago Blackhawks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →
-9
CLS Score
14th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Blackhawks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 72 points vs 69.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
72
Points
Expected: 69.2
213
Goals For
275
Goals Against
2.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 24 · 2025-11-28 · vs Predators · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Predators
Lost 3-4 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm24 · 2025-11-28 · vs Predators · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm1 · 2025-10-07 · vs Panthers · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Florida Panthers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
Gm3 · 2025-10-11 · vs Canadiens · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm71 · 2026-03-24 · vs Islanders · Away+0.9 pts
Edged New York Islanders 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm50 · 2026-01-22 · vs Hurricanes · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm40 · 2026-01-01 · vs Stars · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Dallas Stars 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Close Games
13-22 in one-goal games (37% win rate vs expected 50%)
-16
Pythagorean Delta
3 more points than their goal differential predicts
+14.2
Shootout Record
3-5 in shootouts (net -2)
-5.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (15 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-2.6
OT Loss Rate
14 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+1.2
Total CLS-9
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Blackhawks are right where they belong. Their CLS of -9 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available