Chicago Blackhawks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
-3
CLS Score
12th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Blackhawks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 2 points vs 1.9 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
2
Points
Expected: 1.9
9
Goals For
17
Goals Against
0.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 3 · 2026-10-03 · vs Sabres · away
4-3
Lost away against Sabres
Lost 3-4 against Buffalo Sabres. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-03 · vs Sabres · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Buffalo Sabres. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm1 · 2026-09-29 · vs Golden Knights · Away-0.6 pts
Blown out by Vegas Golden Knights 2-5. Tough night.
Score: 2-5
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm4 · 2026-10-06 · vs Blues · Home+0.7 pts
Beat St. Louis Blues 4-2.
Score: 4-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Close Games
0-1 in one-goal games (0% win rate vs expected 50%)
-2.8
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-0.9
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
+0.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (9 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+0.2
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-3
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Blackhawks are right where they belong. Their CLS of -3 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 14th).