Chicago Blackhawks

Chicago Blackhawks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

-11
CLS Score

Chicago Blackhawks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 72 points vs 69.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

72
Points
Expected: 69.2
213
Goals For
275
Goals Against
2.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 24 · 2025-11-28 · vs Nashville Predators · at home
3-4
Lost at home against Nashville Predators

Lost 3-4 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW24 · 2025-11-28 · vs Nashville Predators · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW1 · 2025-10-07 · vs Florida Panthers · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Florida Panthers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
MW3 · 2025-10-11 · vs Montréal Canadiens · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW71 · 2026-03-24 · vs New York Islanders · Away+0.9 pts
Edged New York Islanders 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW50 · 2026-01-22 · vs Carolina Hurricanes · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW40 · 2026-01-01 · vs Dallas Stars · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Dallas Stars 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Games
13-22 in one-goal games (37% win rate vs expected 50%)
-15.8
Pythagorean Delta
3 more points than their goal differential predicts
+14.2
Shootout Record
3-5 in shootouts (net -2)
-5.9
Injury Burden
High injury burden (318 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-4.7
OT Loss Rate
14 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+1.2
Total CLS-11

Rank Per Signal

Where Chicago Blackhawks ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

4
Close Games
1
32
-15.8
9
Injury Burden
1
32
-4.7
11
Shootout Record
1
32
-5.9
17
OT Loss Rate
1
32
+1.2
24
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+14.2

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Chicago Blackhawks are right where they belong. Their CLS of -11 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available