Florida Panthers CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
+12
CLS Score
1st luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Panthers are getting roughly what their play deserves. 6 points vs 4.4 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
6
Points
Expected: 4.4
8
Goals For
8
Goals Against
1.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm4 · 2026-10-06 · vs Kings · Away+0.7 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 2-1. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 2-1
Gm3 · 2026-10-04 · vs Ducks · Away+0.2 pts
Lost 2-3 in OT/SO against Anaheim Ducks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
Gm2 · 2026-10-01 · vs Sharks · Away+0.1 pts
Lost 3-4 in OT/SO against San Jose Sharks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+8.1
OT Loss Rate
2 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
+4.1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (11 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.2
Close Games
2-2 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+12
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Panthers are right where they belong. Their CLS of +12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 14th).