LA Clippers

LA Clippers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

-1
CLS Score
13th unluckiest of 30 in the NBA

LA Clippers are getting roughly what the data says they deserve. 42 wins vs 42.1 expected — neutral territory across the model's 8 signals (Pythagorean, close-game record, three-point variance, two-point variance, opponent free throws, and shot quality on both ends).

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

42
Wins
Expected: 42.1
9329
Points For
9236
Points Against
0.1
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 25 · 2025-12-12 · vs Rockets · away
115-113
Lost away against Rockets

Lost 113-115 to Houston Rockets despite winning the efficiency battle 59% to 53% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

59%
Team eFG%
52.7%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm25 · 2025-12-12 · vs Rockets · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 113-115 to Houston Rockets despite winning the efficiency battle 59% to 53% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 113-115 | eFG%: 59-52.7
Gm49 · 2026-02-03 · vs 76ers · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 113-128 to Philadelphia 76ers despite winning the efficiency battle 65% to 57% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 113-128 | eFG%: 64.7-56.9
Gm9 · 2025-11-09 · vs Suns · Home-0.6 pts
Lost to Phoenix Suns 103-114. Shot 60% eFG vs their 58%.
Score: 103-114 | eFG%: 59.7-57.8

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm74 · 2026-03-27 · vs Pacers · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Indiana Pacers 114-113 despite being outshot 49% to 59% eFG. Indiana Pacers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 114-113 | eFG%: 49.5-58.6
Gm63 · 2026-03-08 · vs Grizzlies · Away+0.7 pts
Stole it from Memphis Grizzlies 123-120 despite being outshot 52% to 57% eFG. Memphis Grizzlies were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 123-120 | eFG%: 52.4-57.5
Gm64 · 2026-03-10 · vs Knicks · Home+0.6 pts
Beat New York Knicks 126-118. Shot 56% eFG vs their 59%.
Score: 126-118 | eFG%: 55.9-58.9

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Game Record
38% win rate in 8 close games (-1.1 avg margin)
-6.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+4.4
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 79.6% FT vs league average — 23 extra makes against them (pure luck, defense has no control)
-2.8
Off 3P Luck
Made 22 more threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (36.8% vs league)
+2.7
Off 2P Luck
Made 56 more 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (56.4% vs league)
+2.5
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 14 more threes than league-avg would predict (36.4% vs league) — opponents are heating up against them
-2.4
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 28 fewer 2s than league-avg would predict (54.3% vs league)
+0.9
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
0
Total CLS-1

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

LA Clippers are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available