Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

0
CLS Score
14th luckiest of 30 in the NBA

Grizzlies are getting roughly what the data says they deserve. 1 wins vs 0.4 expected — neutral territory across the model's 8 signals (Pythagorean, close-game record, three-point variance, two-point variance, opponent free throws, and shot quality on both ends).

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

1
Wins
Expected: 0.4
132
Points For
123
Points Against
0.6
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 33 · 2025-12-31 · vs 76ers · at home
139-136
Lost at home against 76ers

Lost 136-139 to Philadelphia 76ers despite winning the efficiency battle 61% to 53% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

61.4%
Team eFG%
52.7%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm33 · 2025-12-31 · vs 76ers · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 136-139 to Philadelphia 76ers despite winning the efficiency battle 61% to 53% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 136-139 | eFG%: 61.4-52.7
Gm40 · 2026-01-15 · vs Magic · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to Orlando Magic 111-118. Shot 56% eFG vs their 51%.
Score: 111-118 | eFG%: 56-51.1
Gm43 · 2026-01-24 · vs Pelicans · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 127-133 to New Orleans Pelicans despite winning the efficiency battle 59% to 53% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 127-133 | eFG%: 58.7-53

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm74 · 2026-03-29 · vs Bulls · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Chicago Bulls 125-124 in a 1-point game. Both teams shot near their season averages; this one came down to the final possessions.
Score: 125-124 | eFG%: 52.3-56.1
Gm68 · 2026-03-19 · vs Nuggets · Home+0.7 pts
Stole it from Denver Nuggets 125-118 despite being outshot 51% to 56% eFG. Denver Nuggets were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 125-118 | eFG%: 51-56.1
Gm39 · 2026-01-11 · vs Nets · Home+0.6 pts
Beat Brooklyn Nets 103-98. Shot 48% eFG vs their 51%.
Score: 103-98 | eFG%: 48.3-51.1

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
0
Close Game Record
Not enough close game data
0
Off 3P Luck
Made 23 fewer threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (35.3% vs league)
0
Off 2P Luck
Made 58 fewer 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (53.6% vs league)
0
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 14 more threes than league-avg would predict (36.4% vs league) — opponents are heating up against them
0
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 101 more 2s than league-avg would predict (57.4% vs league)
0
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 77.5% FT vs league average — 15 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
0
Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
0
Total CLS0

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Grizzlies are right where they belong. Their CLS of 0 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available