Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

-7
CLS Score

Milwaukee Bucks are getting roughly what their point differential says they deserve. 32 wins vs 33.3 expected — neutral territory.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

32
Wins
Expected: 33.3
9072
Points For
9581
Points Against
1.3
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 6 · 2025-11-01 · vs Sacramento Kings · at home
133-135
Lost at home against Sacramento Kings

Lost 133-135 to Sacramento Kings despite winning the efficiency battle 69% to 57% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

68.9%
Team eFG%
57.5%
Opp. eFG%
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW6 · 2025-11-01 · vs Sacramento Kings · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 133-135 to Sacramento Kings despite winning the efficiency battle 69% to 57% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 133-135 | eFG%: 68.9-57.5
MW20 · 2025-11-29 · vs New York Knicks · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 109-118 to New York Knicks despite winning the efficiency battle 65% to 54% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 109-118 | eFG%: 64.8-53.6
MW3 · 2025-10-26 · vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 113-118 to Cleveland Cavaliers despite winning the efficiency battle 59% to 52% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 113-118 | eFG%: 58.9-51.7

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW9 · 2025-11-08 · vs Chicago Bulls · Home+0.5 pts
Dominated Chicago Bulls 126-110. Won on efficiency (54% vs 54% eFG).
Score: 126-110 | eFG%: 54.4-54.4
MW67 · 2026-03-15 · vs Indiana Pacers · Home+0.4 pts
Beat Indiana Pacers 134-123 on hot shooting (67% eFG, +10.6 above season average) including 23/44 from three.
Score: 134-123 | eFG%: 67.2-64.8
MW52 · 2026-02-12 · vs Orlando Magic · Away+0.4 pts
Beat Orlando Magic 116-108. Shot 57% eFG vs their 55%.
Score: 116-108 | eFG%: 56.8-54.9

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
-8.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (158 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+1.7
Total CLS-7

Rank Per Signal

Where Milwaukee Bucks ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

11
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
-8.7
18
Injury Burden
1
30
+1.7

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Milwaukee Bucks have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
17-24
0.4% win rate
Second Half
15-26
0.4% win rate
Win rate decline
0pp
Close game collapse
-0pp
Point differential decline
5.7pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
20%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Milwaukee Bucks are right where they belong. Their CLS of -7 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available