Nashville Predators CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
+5
CLS Score
9th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Predators are getting roughly what their play deserves. 3 points vs 2.5 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
3
Points
Expected: 2.5
7
Goals For
9
Goals Against
0.5
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 1 · 2026-10-01 · vs Wild · at home
3-1
Lost at home against Wild
Lost to Minnesota Wild 1-3.
1
Goals
3
Opp. Goals
-0.5
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm1 · 2026-10-01 · vs Wild · Home-0.5 pts
Lost to Minnesota Wild 1-3.
Score: 1-3
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Stars · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Dallas Stars 2-1. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 2-1
Gm3 · 2026-10-06 · vs Maple Leafs · Away+0.1 pts
Lost 4-5 in OT/SO against Toronto Maple Leafs. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+2.3
OT Loss Rate
1 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
+1.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.3
Close Games
1-1 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+5
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Predators are right where they belong. Their CLS of +5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 16th).