New York Islanders

New York Islanders CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+20
CLS Score

New York Islanders have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

91
Points
Expected: 89.2
233
Goals For
241
Goals Against
1.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 1 · 2025-10-09 · vs Pittsburgh Penguins · away
3-4
Lost away against Pittsburgh Penguins

Lost 3-4 against Pittsburgh Penguins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW1 · 2025-10-09 · vs Pittsburgh Penguins · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Pittsburgh Penguins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW46 · 2026-01-13 · vs Winnipeg Jets · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
MW55 · 2026-01-31 · vs Nashville Predators · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW65 · 2026-03-10 · vs St. Louis Blues · Away+0.9 pts
Edged St. Louis Blues 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW61 · 2026-03-01 · vs Florida Panthers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Florida Panthers 5-4. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
MW60 · 2026-02-28 · vs Columbus Blue Jackets · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Games
27-16 in one-goal games (63% win rate vs expected 50%)
+16.1
OT Loss Rate
5 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-11.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (171 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+9.3
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+9.1
Shootout Record
4-5 in shootouts (net -1)
-2.8
Total CLS+20

Rank Per Signal

Where New York Islanders ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

3
OT Loss Rate
1
32
-11.7
13
Shootout Record
1
32
-2.8
22
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+9.1
28
Close Games
1
32
+16.1
30
Injury Burden
1
32
+9.3

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

New York Islanders are riding their luck at +20. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available