New York Islanders

New York Islanders CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

+5
CLS Score
16th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Islanders are getting roughly what their play deserves. 91 points vs 89.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

91
Points
Expected: 89.2
233
Goals For
241
Goals Against
1.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 1 · 2025-10-09 · vs Penguins · away
4-3
Lost away against Penguins

Lost 3-4 against Pittsburgh Penguins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm1 · 2025-10-09 · vs Penguins · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Pittsburgh Penguins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm46 · 2026-01-13 · vs Jets · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
Gm55 · 2026-01-31 · vs Predators · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Nashville Predators. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm65 · 2026-03-10 · vs Blues · Away+0.9 pts
Edged St. Louis Blues 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm61 · 2026-03-01 · vs Panthers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Florida Panthers 5-4. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Gm60 · 2026-02-28 · vs Blue Jackets · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Games
27-16 in one-goal games (63% win rate vs expected 50%)
+18.4
OT Loss Rate
5 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-13.3
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+10.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (21 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-7.2
Shootout Record
4-5 in shootouts (net -1)
-3.2
Total CLS+5

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Islanders are right where they belong. Their CLS of +5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available