New York Islanders

New York Islanders CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

-16
CLS Score
10th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Islanders can't catch a break. 91 points vs 89.2 expected. Shootouts, one-goal games, the small margins haven't fallen their way. Regression should help. Top driver: OT Loss Rate (-16.1 CLS impact). 5 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

91
Points
Expected: 89.2
233
Goals For
241
Goals Against
1.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

OT Loss Rate
5 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-16.1
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+12.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (18 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-8.6
Shootout Record
4-5 in shootouts (net -1)
-3.8
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS-16

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -16, Islanders are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 2 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes. Their next 5 opponents average 23th in the league - a favorable stretch. That should help accelerate the correction.

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