New Jersey Devils

New Jersey Devils CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+25
CLS Score

New Jersey Devils have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

87
Points
Expected: 83.2
230
Goals For
254
Goals Against
3.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 45 · 2026-01-11 · vs Winnipeg Jets · away
3-4
Lost away against Winnipeg Jets

Lost 3-4 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW45 · 2026-01-11 · vs Winnipeg Jets · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW53 · 2026-01-27 · vs Winnipeg Jets · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW65 · 2026-03-12 · vs Calgary Flames · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Calgary Flames. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW81 · 2026-04-12 · vs Ottawa Senators · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Ottawa Senators 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW67 · 2026-03-16 · vs Boston Bruins · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Boston Bruins 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW62 · 2026-03-04 · vs Toronto Maple Leafs · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
4 more points than their goal differential predicts
+18.8
Close Games
20-11 in one-goal games (65% win rate vs expected 50%)
+17.1
OT Loss Rate
3 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-16.4
Shootout Record
4-1 in shootouts (net +3)
+10.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (323 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-5
Total CLS+25

Rank Per Signal

Where New Jersey Devils ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

1
OT Loss Rate
1
32
-16.4
8
Injury Burden
1
32
-5
26
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+18.8
27
Shootout Record
1
32
+10.5
29
Close Games
1
32
+17.1

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

New Jersey Devils are riding their luck at +25. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available