New Jersey Devils

New Jersey Devils CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

+25
CLS Score
10th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Devils have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+19.7 CLS impact). 4 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

87
Points
Expected: 83.2
230
Goals For
254
Goals Against
3.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 45 · 2026-01-11 · vs Jets · away
4-3
Lost away against Jets

Lost 3-4 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm45 · 2026-01-11 · vs Jets · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm53 · 2026-01-27 · vs Jets · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm65 · 2026-03-12 · vs Flames · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Calgary Flames. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm81 · 2026-04-12 · vs Senators · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Ottawa Senators 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm67 · 2026-03-16 · vs Bruins · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Boston Bruins 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm62 · 2026-03-04 · vs Maple Leafs · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
4 more points than their goal differential predicts
+19.7
Close Games
20-11 in one-goal games (65% win rate vs expected 50%)
+18
OT Loss Rate
3 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-17.2
Shootout Record
4-1 in shootouts (net +3)
+11
Injury Burden
High injury burden (21 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-6.5
Total CLS+25

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Devils are riding their luck at +25. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available