New Jersey Devils CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
+5
CLS Score
8th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Devils are getting roughly what their play deserves. 2 points vs 1.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
2
Points
Expected: 1.2
6
Goals For
13
Goals Against
0.8
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 3 · 2026-10-06 · vs Utah Mammoth · at home
5-3
Lost at home against Utah Mammoth
Lost to Utah Mammoth 3-5.
3
Goals
5
Opp. Goals
-0.8
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-06 · vs Utah Mammoth · Home-0.8 pts
Lost to Utah Mammoth 3-5.
Score: 3-5
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm1 · 2026-10-01 · vs Flyers · Home+0.8 pts
Edged Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+3.8
Close Games
1-0 in one-goal games (100% win rate vs expected 50%)
+2.8
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (13 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.6
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+5
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Devils are right where they belong. Their CLS of +5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 15th).