Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

+18
CLS Score
11th luckiest of 30 in the NBA

76ers have had fortune on their side in close games. The CLS says they're winning more than their underlying performance warrants. Not extreme, but don't bet on the streak lasting. Top driver: Injury Burden (+8.9 CLS impact). No injury data available

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

45
Wins
Expected: 43.5
9502
Points For
9517
Points Against
1.5
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 37 · 2026-01-11 · vs Raptors · away
116-115
Lost away against Raptors

Lost 115-116 to Toronto Raptors despite winning the efficiency battle 50% to 42% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

50%
Team eFG%
42.2%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm37 · 2026-01-11 · vs Raptors · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 115-116 to Toronto Raptors despite winning the efficiency battle 50% to 42% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 115-116 | eFG%: 50-42.2
Gm5 · 2025-10-31 · vs Celtics · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 108-109 to Boston Celtics despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 50% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 108-109 | eFG%: 55.8-50.5
Gm44 · 2026-01-24 · vs Knicks · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 109-112 to New York Knicks in a 3-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 109-112 | eFG%: 56.5-52.2

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm50 · 2026-02-04 · vs Warriors · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Golden State Warriors 113-94 despite being outshot 52% to 60% eFG. Golden State Warriors were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 113-94 | eFG%: 52.2-59.6
Gm49 · 2026-02-03 · vs LA Clippers · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from LA Clippers 128-113 despite being outshot 57% to 65% eFG. LA Clippers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 128-113 | eFG%: 56.9-64.7
Gm31 · 2025-12-31 · vs Grizzlies · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Memphis Grizzlies 139-136 despite being outshot 53% to 61% eFG. Memphis Grizzlies were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 139-136 | eFG%: 52.7-61.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Injury Burden
No injury data available
+8.9
Close Game Record
100% win rate in 2 close games (+4.0 avg margin)
+8.5
Pythagorean Delta
2 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+4.6
Off 3P Luck
Made 31 fewer threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (34.9% vs league)
-3.9
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 21 fewer threes than league-avg would predict (35.3% vs league) — defensive 3P variance in their favour
+3.7
Off 2P Luck
Made 69 fewer 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (53.5% vs league)
-3.2
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 78.5% FT vs league average — 5 extra makes against them (pure luck, defense has no control)
-0.6
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 1 more 2s than league-avg would predict (55.0% vs league)
0
Total CLS+18

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

76ers are riding their luck at +18. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available