Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+10
CLS Score

Philadelphia 76ers are getting roughly what their point differential says they deserve. 45 wins vs 43.4 expected — neutral territory.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

45
Wins
Expected: 43.4
9502
Points For
9517
Points Against
1.6
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 37 · 2026-01-11 · vs Toronto Raptors · away
115-116
Lost away against Toronto Raptors

Lost 115-116 to Toronto Raptors despite winning the efficiency battle 50% to 42% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

50%
Team eFG%
42.2%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW37 · 2026-01-11 · vs Toronto Raptors · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 115-116 to Toronto Raptors despite winning the efficiency battle 50% to 42% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 115-116 | eFG%: 50-42.2
MW5 · 2025-10-31 · vs Boston Celtics · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 108-109 to Boston Celtics despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 50% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 108-109 | eFG%: 55.8-50.5
MW44 · 2026-01-24 · vs New York Knicks · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 109-112 to New York Knicks in a 3-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 109-112 | eFG%: 56.5-52.2

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW50 · 2026-02-04 · vs Golden State Warriors · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Golden State Warriors 113-94 despite being outshot 52% to 60% eFG. Golden State Warriors were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 113-94 | eFG%: 52.2-59.6
MW49 · 2026-02-03 · vs LA Clippers · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from LA Clippers 128-113 despite being outshot 57% to 65% eFG. LA Clippers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 128-113 | eFG%: 56.9-64.7
MW31 · 2025-12-31 · vs Memphis Grizzlies · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Memphis Grizzlies 139-136 despite being outshot 53% to 61% eFG. Memphis Grizzlies were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 139-136 | eFG%: 52.7-61.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+5.9
Pythagorean Delta
2 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+4.5
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 25 fewer threes than league-avg would predict (35.2% vs league) — defensive 3P variance in their favour
+4.2
Off 3P Luck
Made 31 fewer threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (34.9% vs league)
-3.8
Close Game Record
60% win rate in 5 close games (+0.6 avg margin)
+3.1
Off 2P Luck
Made 69 fewer 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (53.5% vs league)
-3.1
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 78.5% FT vs league average — 5 extra makes against them (pure luck, defense has no control)
-0.6
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 6 more 2s than league-avg would predict (55.1% vs league)
-0.2
Total CLS+10

Rank Per Signal

Where Philadelphia 76ers ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

7
Off 2P Luck
1
30
-3.1
8
Off 3P Luck
1
30
-3.8
16
Opp FT Luck
1
30
-0.6
18
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+4.5
18
Def 2P Luck
1
30
-0.2
20
Close Game Record
1
30
+3.1
20
Injury Burden
1
30
+5.9
22
Def 3P Luck
1
30
+4.2

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Philadelphia 76ers have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
23-19
0.5% win rate
Second Half
23-19
0.5% win rate
Win rate decline
0pp
Close game collapse
-0pp
Point differential decline
3.1pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
18%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Philadelphia 76ers are right where they belong. Their CLS of +10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available