Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+6
CLS Score

Phoenix Suns are getting roughly what their point differential says they deserve. 45 wins vs 44.4 expected — neutral territory.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

45
Wins
Expected: 44.4
9232
Points For
9112
Points Against
0.6
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 26 · 2025-12-15 · vs Los Angeles Lakers · at home
114-116
Lost at home against Los Angeles Lakers

Lost 114-116 to Los Angeles Lakers despite winning the efficiency battle 57% to 47% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

56.7%
Team eFG%
47.2%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW26 · 2025-12-15 · vs Los Angeles Lakers · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 114-116 to Los Angeles Lakers despite winning the efficiency battle 57% to 47% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 114-116 | eFG%: 56.7-47.2
MW4 · 2025-10-28 · vs Utah Jazz · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to Utah Jazz 134-138. Shot 52% eFG vs their 48%.
Score: 134-138 | eFG%: 51.9-48.1
MW5 · 2025-10-30 · vs Memphis Grizzlies · Home-0.6 pts
Lost 113-114 to Memphis Grizzlies in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 113-114 | eFG%: 57-55.4

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW57 · 2026-02-21 · vs Orlando Magic · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from Orlando Magic 113-110 despite being outshot 41% to 48% eFG. Orlando Magic were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 113-110 | eFG%: 41-48
MW12 · 2025-11-13 · vs Dallas Mavericks · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Dallas Mavericks 123-114 despite being outshot 54% to 60% eFG. Dallas Mavericks were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 123-114 | eFG%: 53.7-59.9
MW32 · 2025-12-30 · vs Washington Wizards · Away+0.7 pts
Stole it from Washington Wizards 115-101 despite being outshot 49% to 54% eFG. Washington Wizards were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 115-101 | eFG%: 49-54.5

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+4.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (161 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+1.5
Total CLS+6

Rank Per Signal

Where Phoenix Suns ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

16
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+4.5
16
Injury Burden
1
30
+1.5

Tank Watch

Competing (14/100)

Phoenix Suns have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
24-17
0.6% win rate
Second Half
21-21
0.5% win rate
Win rate decline
0pp
Close game collapse
-0pp
Point differential decline
3.0pts/game
Late losing streaks
1 losing streak
Roster turnover (2H)
25%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Phoenix Suns are right where they belong. Their CLS of +6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available