Pittsburgh Penguins CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
-16
CLS Score
9th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Penguins can't catch a break. 98 points vs 100.5 expected. Shootouts, one-goal games, the small margins haven't fallen their way. Regression should help. Top driver: Shootout Record (-20.4 CLS impact). 3-10 in shootouts (net -7)
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
98
Points
Expected: 100.5
293
Goals For
268
Goals Against
2.5
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Shootout Record
3-10 in shootouts (net -7)
-20.4
OT Loss Rate
16 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+18.1
Pythagorean Delta
2 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-17.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+3.8
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS-16
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
At -16, Penguins are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 3 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.