Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

+31
CLS Score
7th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Flyers have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+15.8 CLS impact). 3 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

98
Points
Expected: 95
250
Goals For
243
Goals Against
3
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 27 · 2025-12-07 · vs Avalanche · at home
3-2
Lost at home against Avalanche

Lost 2-3 against Colorado Avalanche. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

2
Goals
3
Opp. Goals
-0.8
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm27 · 2025-12-07 · vs Avalanche · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Colorado Avalanche. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
Gm33 · 2025-12-18 · vs Sabres · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Buffalo Sabres 3-5.
Score: 3-5
Gm52 · 2026-01-28 · vs Blue Jackets · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Columbus Blue Jackets 3-5.
Score: 3-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm68 · 2026-03-19 · vs Kings · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm62 · 2026-03-07 · vs Penguins · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm23 · 2025-11-28 · vs Islanders · Away+0.9 pts
Edged New York Islanders 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
3 more points than their goal differential predicts
+15.8
Shootout Record
10-4 in shootouts (net +6)
+12.4
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+5.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (15 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-2.7
Close Games
17-17 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Total CLS+31

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Flyers are riding their luck at +31. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available