Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+33
CLS Score

Philadelphia Flyers have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

98
Points
Expected: 95
250
Goals For
243
Goals Against
3
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 27 · 2025-12-07 · vs Colorado Avalanche · at home
2-3
Lost at home against Colorado Avalanche

Lost 2-3 against Colorado Avalanche. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

2
Goals
3
Opp. Goals
-0.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW27 · 2025-12-07 · vs Colorado Avalanche · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Colorado Avalanche. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
MW33 · 2025-12-18 · vs Buffalo Sabres · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Buffalo Sabres 3-5.
Score: 3-5
MW52 · 2026-01-28 · vs Columbus Blue Jackets · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Columbus Blue Jackets 3-5.
Score: 3-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW68 · 2026-03-19 · vs Los Angeles Kings · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW62 · 2026-03-07 · vs Pittsburgh Penguins · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW23 · 2025-11-28 · vs New York Islanders · Away+0.9 pts
Edged New York Islanders 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
3 more points than their goal differential predicts
+15.2
Shootout Record
10-4 in shootouts (net +6)
+11.8
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+5.3
Close Games
18-17 in one-goal games (51% win rate vs expected 50%)
+1.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (7 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-1
Total CLS+33

Rank Per Signal

Where Philadelphia Flyers ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

11
Injury Burden
1
32
-1
19
Close Games
1
32
+1.7
24
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+15.2
26
OT Loss Rate
1
32
+5.3
29
Shootout Record
1
32
+11.8

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Philadelphia Flyers are riding their luck at +33. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available