Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

+46
CLS Score
2nd luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Flyers have been living on borrowed time. 98 points from 95 expected — shootout wins and narrow escapes padding the record. The data says the wheels are overdue to wobble. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+20.8 CLS impact). 3 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

98
Points
Expected: 95
250
Goals For
243
Goals Against
3
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
3 more points than their goal differential predicts
+20.8
Shootout Record
10-4 in shootouts (net +6)
+16.3
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+7.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.6
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+46

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At +46, Flyers are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain. Their next 5 opponents average 9th in the league - a tough run. The schedule only makes the cliff steeper.

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