Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+10
CLS Score

Portland Trail Blazers are getting roughly what their point differential says they deserve. 42 wins vs 41.6 expected — neutral territory.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

42
Wins
Expected: 41.6
9469
Points For
9493
Points Against
0.4
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 66 · 2026-03-11 · vs Charlotte Hornets · at home
101-103
Lost at home against Charlotte Hornets

Lost 101-103 to Charlotte Hornets despite winning the efficiency battle 52% to 47% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

51.8%
Team eFG%
46.6%
Opp. eFG%
-0.7
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW66 · 2026-03-11 · vs Charlotte Hornets · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 101-103 to Charlotte Hornets despite winning the efficiency battle 52% to 47% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 101-103 | eFG%: 51.8-46.6
MW79 · 2026-04-07 · vs Denver Nuggets · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to Denver Nuggets 132-137. Shot 61% eFG vs their 57%.
Score: 132-137 | eFG%: 61.2-57.4
MW10 · 2025-11-11 · vs Orlando Magic · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 112-115 to Orlando Magic in a 3-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 112-115 | eFG%: 51.7-49.4

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW60 · 2026-02-27 · vs Chicago Bulls · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Chicago Bulls 121-112 despite being outshot 49% to 56% eFG. Chicago Bulls were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 121-112 | eFG%: 49.5-55.6
MW70 · 2026-03-18 · vs Indiana Pacers · Away+0.7 pts
Beat Indiana Pacers 127-119. Shot 52% eFG vs their 57%.
Score: 127-119 | eFG%: 52.5-57.1
MW6 · 2025-11-01 · vs Denver Nuggets · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Denver Nuggets 109-107 as they shot 52% eFG (-5.7 below their season average). Defensive luck, opponent couldn't find their shot.
Score: 109-107 | eFG%: 47.8-51.9

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Injury Burden
High injury burden (100 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+6.6
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+3.4
Total CLS+10

Rank Per Signal

Where Portland Trail Blazers ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

15
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+3.4
28
Injury Burden
1
30
+6.6

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Portland Trail Blazers have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
19-22
0.5% win rate
Second Half
23-19
0.5% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
0pp
Point differential decline
-5.1pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
14%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Portland Trail Blazers are right where they belong. Their CLS of +10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available