Real Betis

Real Betis CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 season · 38 matches played · View La Liga standings →

+12
CLS Score
8th luckiest of 20 in the La Liga

Real Betis are getting roughly what they deserve. 60 points vs 58.39 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

60
Points
Expected: 58.39
59
Goals Scored
xG: 55.38
48
Goals Conceded
xGA: 46.03
1.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 27 · 2026-03-08 · vs Getafe · away
0-2
Lost away against Getafe

One of those games where nothing went right. Getafe created almost nothing - just 0.37 xG - but scored 2 goals. The model valued this match at 2.0 points for Real Betis. They got 0. That's 2.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
28'Kiko Femenia scores for Getafe
45'M. Satriano scores for Getafe (assist: A. Abqar)
1.11
xG Created
0.37
Opp. xG
-2.0
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW27 · 2026-03-08 · vs Getafe · Away-2.0 pts
Lost 0-2 away despite 1.1 xG. Expected 2.0 pts, got 0.
Score: 0-2 | xG: 1.11-0.37
MW10 · 2025-10-27 · vs Atletico Madrid · Home-1.7 pts
Lost 0-2 home despite 1.1 xG. Expected 1.7 pts, got 0.
Score: 0-2 | xG: 1.07-0.6
MW21 · 2026-01-25 · vs Alaves · Away-1.4 pts
Lost 1-2 away despite 1.4 xG. Expected 1.4 pts, got 0.
Score: 1-2 | xG: 1.38-1.27

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW8 · 2025-10-05 · vs Espanyol · Away+2.1 pts
Won 2-1 away from 1.4 xG. Got 3 pts vs 0.9 expected.
Score: 2-1 | xG: 1.4-2.28
MW38 · 2026-05-23 · vs Levante · Home+2.0 pts
Won 2-1 home from 1.5 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.0 expected.
Score: 2-1 | xG: 1.51-2.28
MW32 · 2026-04-21 · vs Girona · Away+1.9 pts
Won 3-2 away from 1.0 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.1 expected.
Score: 3-2 | xG: 1.04-1.36

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Finishing Luck
Scored 4 more goals than their 55.4 xG - clinical finishing
+6.1
Schedule Strength
Faced weaker-than-average opponents so far
+4.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (172 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-3.1
Discipline
Opponents picking up more cards - refereeing luck is on their side
+2.8
Defensive Luck
Conceded 2 more goals than the 46.0 xGA opponents generated
-2.7
xPTS Gap
2 more points than xG simulations predict they deserve
+2.5
Shot Volume Gap
Getting more points than their shot dominance warrants
+1.9
Total CLS+12

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Real Betis are right where they belong. Their CLS of +12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available