Rockies CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
-1
CLS Score
Rockies are getting what their run differential deserves. 9 wins vs 9.5 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
9
Wins
Expected: 9.5
92
Runs Scored
111
Runs Allowed
0.5
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 2 · 2026-03-28 · vs Marlins · away
3-4
Lost away against Marlins
Lost 3-4 to Marlins. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
3
Runs
4
Opp. Runs
-0.4
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW2 · 2026-03-28 · vs Marlins · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 3-4 to Marlins. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-4
MW3 · 2026-03-29 · vs Marlins · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 3-4 to Marlins. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-4
MW17 · 2026-04-14 · vs Astros · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 6-7 to Astros. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-7
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW21 · 2026-04-18 · vs Dodgers · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Dodgers 4-3. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 4-3
MW10 · 2026-04-06 · vs Astros · Home+0.4 pts
Beat Astros 9-7.
Score: 9-7
MW22 · 2026-04-19 · vs Dodgers · Home+0.3 pts
Beat Dodgers 9-6.
Score: 9-6
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
One-Run Game Record
3-5 in one-run games (38% — below the .500 norm where teams historically regress, bad sequencing luck)
-3.2
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
-2.7
Pitching Luck
ERA 4.83 vs xERA 5.64 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+2.7
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.315 vs xwOBA 0.314 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+1.1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (10 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.1
Total CLS-1
Rank Per Signal
Where Rockies ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
8-3.2
One-Run Game Record
1
30
13-2.7
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
20+1.1
Batting Luck
1
30
21+1.1
Injury Burden
1
30
28+2.7
Pitching Luck
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|139 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Rockies are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 13th).