Seattle Kraken

Seattle Kraken CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

-20
CLS Score
10th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Kraken can't catch a break. 79 points vs 78.4 expected. Shootouts, one-goal games, the small margins haven't fallen their way. Regression should help. Top driver: Shootout Record (-11.8 CLS impact). 2-6 in shootouts (net -4)

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

79
Points
Expected: 78.4
226
Goals For
263
Goals Against
0.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 26 · 2025-12-06 · vs Red Wings · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Red Wings

Lost 3-4 against Detroit Red Wings. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm26 · 2025-12-06 · vs Red Wings · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Detroit Red Wings. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm23 · 2025-11-26 · vs Stars · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
Gm29 · 2025-12-12 · vs Utah Mammoth · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Utah Mammoth 3-5.
Score: 3-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm22 · 2025-11-23 · vs Islanders · Away+1.0 pts
Shut out on the road against New York Islanders. 1 goals conceded, 0 scored.
Score: 0-1
Gm78 · 2026-04-09 · vs Golden Knights · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm71 · 2026-03-26 · vs Lightning · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Shootout Record
2-6 in shootouts (net -4)
-11.8
Close Games
13-16 in one-goal games (45% win rate vs expected 50%)
-6.4
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+3.1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (15 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-2.7
OT Loss Rate
11 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
-2.2
Total CLS-20

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -20, Kraken are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 1 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available