Seattle Kraken CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
-9
CLS Score
4th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Kraken are getting roughly what their play deserves. 4 points vs 5.7 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
4
Points
Expected: 5.7
15
Goals For
11
Goals Against
1.7
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Oilers · away
3-1
Lost away against Oilers
Lost to Edmonton Oilers 1-3.
1
Goals
3
Opp. Goals
-0.5
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Oilers · Away-0.5 pts
Lost to Edmonton Oilers 1-3.
Score: 1-3
Gm4 · 2026-10-06 · vs Golden Knights · Home-0.5 pts
Blown out by Vegas Golden Knights 2-6. Tough night.
Score: 2-6
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-04 · vs Flames · Home+0.3 pts
Dominated Calgary Flames 6-1. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 6-1
Gm1 · 2026-10-01 · vs Flames · Away+0.3 pts
Dominated Calgary Flames 6-1. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 6-1
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
2 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-8.6
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (7 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+0.6
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-9
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Kraken are right where they belong. Their CLS of -9 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 20th in the league - a favorable stretch.