White Sox CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
-1
CLS Score
White Sox are getting what their run differential deserves. 9 wins vs 9 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
9
Wins
Expected: 9
93
Runs Scored
118
Runs Allowed
0
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 7 · 2026-04-02 · vs Blue Jays · at home
0-0
Lost at home against Blue Jays
Shut out at home by Blue Jays. 0 runs conceded, 0 scored.
0
Runs
0
Opp. Runs
-0.5
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW7 · 2026-04-02 · vs Blue Jays · Home-0.5 pts
Shut out at home by Blue Jays. 0 runs conceded, 0 scored.
Score: 0-0
MW3 · 2026-03-29 · vs Brewers · Away-0.4 pts
Lost to Brewers 7-9.
Score: 7-9
MW22 · 2026-04-18 · vs Athletics · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 6-7 in 11 innings to Athletics. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-7
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW17 · 2026-04-12 · vs Royals · Away+0.4 pts
Edged Royals 6-5. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 6-5
MW8 · 2026-04-03 · vs Blue Jays · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Blue Jays 5-4 in 10 innings. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 5-4
MW23 · 2026-04-19 · vs Athletics · Away+0.3 pts
Beat Athletics 7-4.
Score: 7-4
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.304 vs xwOBA 0.312 - hard contact not converting into hits
-1.1
Pitching Luck
ERA 4.24 vs xERA 4.58 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+0.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (13 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.4
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
-0.1
One-Run Game Record
Not enough one-run games yet (2-2)
-0.1
Total CLS-1
Rank Per Signal
Where White Sox ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
10-1.1
Batting Luck
1
30
11-0.4
Injury Burden
1
30
14-0.1
One-Run Game Record
1
30
16+0.7
Pitching Luck
1
30
20-0.1
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|138 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
White Sox are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 17th).