Winnipeg Jets CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
+12
CLS Score
2nd luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Jets are getting roughly what their play deserves. 5 points vs 3.7 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
5
Points
Expected: 3.7
9
Goals For
8
Goals Against
1.3
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-05 · vs Penguins · Away+0.8 pts
Edged Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Gm2 · 2026-10-04 · vs Red Wings · Away+0.8 pts
Edged Detroit Red Wings 3-2. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Gm1 · 2026-10-02 · vs Bruins · Home+0.1 pts
Lost 3-4 in OT/SO against Boston Bruins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+6.1
OT Loss Rate
1 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
+4
Close Games
2-1 in one-goal games (67% win rate vs expected 50%)
+2.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (12 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.4
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+12
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Jets are right where they belong. Their CLS of +12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 14th).