Winnipeg Jets

Winnipeg Jets CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

-19
CLS Score
8th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Jets can't catch a break. 82 points vs 81.5 expected. Shootouts, one-goal games, the small margins haven't fallen their way. Regression should help. Top driver: Injury Burden (-13.7 CLS impact). High injury burden (18 player-games missed) - key absences hurting

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

82
Points
Expected: 81.5
231
Goals For
260
Goals Against
0.5
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Injury Burden
High injury burden (18 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-13.7
Shootout Record
2-4 in shootouts (net -2)
-9.3
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+3.5
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+0.5
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS-19

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -19, Jets are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 1 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.

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