Yankees

Yankees CURSD Luck Score

2026 MLB regular season · 166 games played · View MLB standings →

+6
CLS Score
15th luckiest of 30 in the MLB

Yankees are getting what their run differential deserves. 93 wins vs 95.5 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

93
Wins
Expected: 95.5
739
Runs Scored
601
Runs Allowed
2.5
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 53 · 2026-05-23 · vs Rays · at home
0-0
Lost at home against Rays

Shut out by Rays 0-0. Held to 0 hits - offense went silent.

0
Runs
0
Opp. Runs
-0.5
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm53 · 2026-05-23 · vs Rays · Home-0.5 pts
Shut out by Rays 0-0. Held to 0 hits - offense went silent.
Score: 0-0
Gm65 · 2026-06-06 · vs Red Sox · Home-0.5 pts
Shut out by Red Sox 0-0. Held to 0 hits - offense went silent.
Score: 0-0
Gm100 · 2026-07-18 · vs Dodgers · Home-0.5 pts
Shut out by Dodgers 0-0. Held to 0 hits - offense went silent.
Score: 0-0

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm16 · 2026-04-13 · vs Angels · Home+0.5 pts
Won 11-10 against Angels (14-12 H). Tight game that could have tipped either way.
Score: 11-10
Gm128 · 2026-08-16 · vs Blue Jays · Away+0.4 pts
Won 4-3 in 10 innings against Blue Jays (6-7 H). Found the walk-off moment in extras.
Score: 4-3
Gm121 · 2026-08-08 · vs Braves · Home+0.4 pts
Won 5-4 against Braves (8-9 H). Tight game that could have tipped either way.
Score: 5-4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pitching Luck
ERA 3.23 vs xERA 3.78 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+21.3
One-Run Game Record
17-22 in one-run games (44% — below the .500 norm where teams historically regress, bad sequencing luck)
-9.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (4 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+8.8
Pythagorean Delta
2 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-7.5
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.320 vs xwOBA 0.322 - hard contact not converting into hits
-7.3
Total CLS+6

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Yankees are right where they belong. Their CLS of +6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available