Yankees CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
-9
CLS Score
Yankees are getting what their run differential deserves. 13 wins vs 13.9 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
13
Wins
Expected: 13.9
110
Runs Scored
82
Runs Allowed
0.9
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 9 · 2026-04-05 · vs Marlins · at home
6-7
Lost at home against Marlins
Lost 6-7 to Marlins. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
6
Runs
7
Opp. Runs
-0.4
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW9 · 2026-04-05 · vs Marlins · Home-0.4 pts
Lost 6-7 to Marlins. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-7
MW14 · 2026-04-11 · vs Rays · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 4-5 in 10 innings to Rays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-5
MW15 · 2026-04-12 · vs Rays · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 4-5 to Rays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-5
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW16 · 2026-04-13 · vs Angels · Home+0.5 pts
Edged Angels 11-10. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 11-10
MW18 · 2026-04-15 · vs Angels · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Angels 5-4. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 5-4
MW8 · 2026-04-04 · vs Marlins · Home+0.4 pts
Beat Marlins 9-7.
Score: 9-7
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
One-Run Game Record
2-6 in one-run games (25% — below the .500 norm where teams historically regress, bad sequencing luck)
-5.9
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-4.6
Injury Burden
High injury burden (8 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.9
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.337 vs xwOBA 0.349 - hard contact not converting into hits
-1.4
Pitching Luck
ERA 2.99 vs xERA 3.44 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+1
Total CLS-9
Rank Per Signal
Where Yankees ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
4-5.9
One-Run Game Record
1
30
9-4.6
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
9-1.4
Batting Luck
1
30
19+1
Pitching Luck
1
30
24+1.9
Injury Burden
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|140 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Yankees are right where they belong. Their CLS of -9 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 23th in the league - a favorable stretch.