Yankees

Yankees Luck Index

2026 Season · View MLB standings →

-1
Luck Index Score

Yankees are getting roughly what they deserve. 3 points vs 3.8 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

3
Wins
Expected: 3.8
14
Runs Scored
Expected: 3.8
3
Runs Allowed
0.8
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

Luck Index Evolution

How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

What's Driving the Luck Index

Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.

Diff Consistency
Winning more than their per-game margin suggests - efficient in tight spots
+19
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
-18
Pitching Luck
ERA 2.71 vs xERA 2.88 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
-2
Win% Gap
Win rate is lower than what their run differential deserves
0
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.334 vs xwOBA 0.336 - hard contact not converting into hits
0
Total Luck Index-1

What to Expect Next

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|37 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Yankees are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available

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