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Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest Robbed by the Numbers

xG: Crystal Palace 2.4 - 3.3 Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 3-1.

Crystal PalacexG 2.41 β†’ 3 goals
Nottingham ForestxG 3.34 β†’ 1 goal
2.34 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Nottingham Forest
-47
Robbery 😀
Crystal Palace
+47
Heist πŸ€
October 11, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Nottingham Forest 😀 Robbery (-47) | Crystal Palace πŸ€ Heist (+47)

Crystal Palace created 2.41 xG. Nottingham Forest created 3.34 xG. The scoreboard read 3-1. The data says Nottingham Forest deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatCrystal PalaceNottingham Forest
xG2.413.34
Goals31
Shots (on target)13 (7)24 (6)
Shots inside box1116
Possession43%57%
Corners58
GK saves44
Fouls1110
Cards (Y/R)2/02/0

Key Events

3' Goal - D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)

41' Goal - D. Kamada (assist: Q. Timber) (Crystal Palace)

45' Goal - J. Lerma (assist: A. Wharton) (Crystal Palace)

59' Goal - Y. Pino (Crystal Palace)

Verdict

- Crystal Palace created 2.41 xG, scored 3 - Nottingham Forest created 3.34 xG, scored 1 - Nottingham Forest GK made 4 saves - Crystal Palace GK made 4 saves

CURSD Match Score: Nottingham Forest -47 (Robbery) | Crystal Palace +47 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Nottingham Forest had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
3Goals1
2.4xG3.3
13Shots24
43%Possession57%
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Common Questions

Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest Robbed by the Numbers?

xG: Crystal Palace 2.4 - 3.3 Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 3-1.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Nottingham Forest currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: xG: Crystal Palace 2.4 - 3.3 Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 3-1.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Crystal Palace currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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