Blog/⚽ Premier League

The xG Told a Different Story: Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa

xG: Newcastle 1.1 - 1.6 Aston Villa. Newcastle on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 0-1.

0 - 1
xG: 1.1 - 1.6
NewcastlexG 1.07 β†’ 0 goals
1.07 xG left on the table
Aston VillaxG 1.63 β†’ 1 goal
0.63 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Newcastle
-35
Robbery 😀
Aston Villa
+35
Heist πŸ€
October 17, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Newcastle 😀 Robbery (-35) | Aston Villa πŸ€ Heist (+35)

Newcastle created 1.07 xG. Aston Villa created 1.63 xG. The scoreboard read 0-1. The data says Newcastle deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatNewcastleAston Villa
xG1.071.63
Goals01
Shots (on target)16 (1)15 (3)
Shots inside box1111
Possession49%51%
Corners45
GK saves21
Fouls1411
Cards (Y/R)6/02/0

Key Events

36' Goal - Johan Manzambi (assist: JoΓ£o Gomes) (Aston Villa)

Verdict

- Newcastle created 1.07 xG, scored 0 - Aston Villa created 1.63 xG, scored 1 - Newcastle: 11 shots inside box, 0 goals

CURSD Match Score: Newcastle -35 (Robbery) | Aston Villa +35 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Newcastle had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

NewcastleAston Villa
0Goals1
1.1xG1.6
16Shots15
49%Possession51%
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Common Questions

The xG Told a Different Story: Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa?

xG: Newcastle 1.1 - 1.6 Aston Villa. Newcastle on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 0-1.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Newcastle currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: xG: Newcastle 1.1 - 1.6 Aston Villa. Newcastle on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 0-1.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Aston Villa currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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