Blog/⚽ Premier League

The xG Told a Different Story: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Brentford

Nottingham Forest created 0.9 xG but lost 2-0. The xG gap of 0.4 tells a different story.

2 - 0
xG: 0.5 - 0.9
BrentfordxG 0.51 β†’ 2 goals
Nottingham ForestxG 0.88 β†’ 0 goals
0.88 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Nottingham Forest
-74
Cursed πŸ’€
Brentford
+74
Blessed 🎰
October 31, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Nottingham Forest πŸ’€ Cursed (-74) | Brentford 🎰 Blessed (+74)

Brentford created 0.51 xG. Nottingham Forest created 0.88 xG. The scoreboard read 2-0. The data says Nottingham Forest deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatBrentfordNottingham Forest
xG0.510.88
Goals20
Shots (on target)7 (1)15 (1)
Shots inside box39
Possession42%58%
Corners34
GK saves10
Fouls617
Cards (Y/R)1/03/0

Key Events

30' Goal - Nikola Milenković (OG) (Brentford)

76' Goal - Igor Thiago (assist: Jaidon Anthony) (Brentford)

Verdict

- Brentford created 0.51 xG, scored 2 - Nottingham Forest created 0.88 xG, scored 0 - Nottingham Forest: 9 shots inside box, 0 goals

CURSD Match Score: Nottingham Forest -74 (Cursed) | Brentford +74 (Blessed)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Nottingham Forest were robbed by the data's standards.

Match Stats

BrentfordNottingham Forest
2Goals0
0.5xG0.9
7Shots15
42%Possession58%
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Common Questions

The xG Told a Different Story: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Brentford?

Nottingham Forest created 0.9 xG but lost 2-0. The xG gap of 0.4 tells a different story.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Nottingham Forest currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: Nottingham Forest created 0.9 xG but lost 2-0. The xG gap of 0.4 tells a different story.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Brentford currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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