Montréal Canadiens CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
+41
CLS Score
4th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Canadiens have been living on borrowed time. 106 points from 101.6 expected — shootout wins and narrow escapes padding the record. The data says the wheels are overdue to wobble. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+30.2 CLS impact). 4 more points than their goal differential predicts
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
106
Points
Expected: 101.6
283
Goals For
256
Goals Against
4.4
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
4 more points than their goal differential predicts
+30.2
Injury Burden
No injury data available
+9.1
OT Loss Rate
10 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+5.5
Shootout Record
4-5 in shootouts (net -1)
-3.8
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+41
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
At +41, Canadiens are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain.