Blog/⚽ Premier League

The Data Agrees: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Was About Right

Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham (xG: 0.3-1.0). The numbers match the result.

1 - 2
xG: 0.3 - 1.0
Aston VillaxG 0.31 β†’ 1 goal
TottenhamxG 1.03 β†’ 2 goals
CURSD Verdict
Aston Villa
-4
Fair 😐
Tottenham
+4
Fair 😐
May 3, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Aston Villa 😐 Fair (-4) | Tottenham 😐 Fair (+4)

Aston Villa created 0.31 xG. Tottenham created 1.03 xG. The scoreboard read 1-2. The result broadly matches the underlying play.

The Data

StatAston VillaTottenham
xG0.311.03
Goals12
Shots (on target)5 (1)10 (5)
Shots inside box26
Possession46%54%
Corners55
GK saves30
Fouls1212
Cards (Y/R)2/05/0

Key Events

12' Goal - Conor Gallagher (Tottenham)

25' Goal - Richarlison (assist: Mathys Tel) (Tottenham)

90'+6 Goal - Emiliano BuendΓ­a (assist: Matty Cash) (Aston Villa)

Verdict

- Aston Villa created 0.31 xG, scored 1 - Tottenham created 1.03 xG, scored 2 - Aston Villa GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Aston Villa -4 (Fair) | Tottenham +4 (Fair)

Neither team was significantly lucky or unlucky. The result reflects the balance of play.

Match Stats

Aston VillaTottenham
1Goals2
0.3xG1.0
5Shots10
46%Possession54%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Read next