Blog/⚽ Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle: Both Teams Got What They Earned

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle (xG: 1.2-1.6). The numbers match the result.

1 - 1
xG: 1.2 - 1.6
Nottingham ForestxG 1.19 β†’ 1 goal
NewcastlexG 1.55 β†’ 1 goal
0.55 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Newcastle
-5
Fair 😐
Nottingham Forest
+5
Fair 😐
May 10, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Newcastle 😐 Fair (-5) | Nottingham Forest 😐 Fair (+5)

Nottingham Forest created 1.19 xG. Newcastle created 1.55 xG. The scoreboard read 1-1. The result broadly matches the underlying play.

The Data

StatNottingham ForestNewcastle
xG1.191.55
Goals11
Shots (on target)17 (6)16 (6)
Shots inside box117
Possession46%54%
Corners21
GK saves55
Fouls1611
Cards (Y/R)2/00/0

Key Events

74' Goal - H. Barnes (assist: J. Ramsey) (Newcastle)

88' Goal - E. Anderson (assist: J. McAtee) (Nottingham Forest)

Verdict

- Newcastle created 1.55 xG, scored 1 - Newcastle GK made 5 saves - Nottingham Forest GK made 5 saves

CURSD Match Score: Newcastle -5 (Fair) | Nottingham Forest +5 (Fair)

Neither team was significantly lucky or unlucky. The result reflects the balance of play.

Match Stats

Nottingham ForestNewcastle
1Goals1
1.2xG1.6
17Shots16
46%Possession54%
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