Blog/⚽ Premier League

How Liverpool Got Cursed Against Aston Villa

xG: Aston Villa 1.9 - 1.5 Liverpool. Liverpool on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 4-2.

4 - 2
xG: 1.9 - 1.5
Aston VillaxG 1.91 β†’ 4 goals
LiverpoolxG 1.52 β†’ 2 goals
CURSD Verdict
Liverpool
-35
Robbery 😀
Aston Villa
+35
Heist πŸ€
May 15, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Liverpool 😀 Robbery (-35) | Aston Villa πŸ€ Heist (+35)

Aston Villa created 1.91 xG. Liverpool created 1.52 xG. The scoreboard read 4-2. The data says Liverpool deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatAston VillaLiverpool
xG1.911.52
Goals42
Shots (on target)14 (9)15 (5)
Shots inside box99
Possession45%55%
Corners49
GK saves35
Fouls129
Cards (Y/R)3/01/0

Key Events

42' Goal - M. Rogers (assist: L. Digne) (Aston Villa)

52' Goal - V. van Dijk (assist: D. Szoboszlai) (Liverpool)

57' Goal - O. Watkins (assist: M. Rogers) (Aston Villa)

73' Goal - O. Watkins (Aston Villa)

89' Goal - J. McGinn (assist: O. Watkins) (Aston Villa)

90' Goal - V. van Dijk (assist: D. Szoboszlai) (Liverpool)

Verdict

- Aston Villa created 1.91 xG, scored 4 - Liverpool created 1.52 xG, scored 2 - Liverpool GK made 5 saves - Aston Villa GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Liverpool -35 (Robbery) | Aston Villa +35 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Liverpool had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

Aston VillaLiverpool
4Goals2
1.9xG1.5
14Shots15
45%Possession55%
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