Blog/⚽ Premier League

West Ham Lose Despite Matching Newcastle on xG

Newcastle 3-1 West Ham (xG: 1.7-0.9). The numbers match the result.

3 - 1
xG: 1.7 - 0.9
NewcastlexG 1.70 β†’ 3 goals
West HamxG 0.88 β†’ 1 goal
CURSD Verdict
West Ham
-29
Unlucky πŸ˜”
Newcastle
+29
Lucky 😏
May 17, 2026

CURSD Match Report: West Ham πŸ˜” Unlucky (-29) | Newcastle 😏 Lucky (+29)

Newcastle created 1.70 xG. West Ham created 0.88 xG. The scoreboard read 3-1. The data says West Ham deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatNewcastleWest Ham
xG1.700.88
Goals31
Shots (on target)15 (7)15 (8)
Shots inside box910
Possession56%44%
Corners91
GK saves74
Fouls811
Cards (Y/R)1/03/0

Key Events

15' Goal - N. Woltemade (assist: H. Barnes) (Newcastle)

19' Goal - W. Osula (assist: J. Ramsey) (Newcastle)

65' Goal - W. Osula (assist: J. Willock) (Newcastle)

69' Goal - T. Castellanos (assist: M. Hermansen) (West Ham)

Verdict

- Newcastle created 1.70 xG, scored 3 - West Ham GK made 4 saves - Newcastle GK made 7 saves

CURSD Match Score: West Ham -29 (Unlucky) | Newcastle +29 (Lucky)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. West Ham deserved a better outcome.

Match Stats

NewcastleWest Ham
3Goals1
1.7xG0.9
15Shots15
56%Possession44%
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