Blog/⚽ Premier League

Liverpool Deserved a Point. The Data Says So.

Liverpool 1-1 Brentford (xG: 2.9-1.2). The numbers match the result.

1 - 1
xG: 2.9 - 1.2
LiverpoolxG 2.90 β†’ 1 goal
1.90 xG left on the table
BrentfordxG 1.22 β†’ 1 goal
CURSD Verdict
Liverpool
-26
Unlucky πŸ˜”
Brentford
+26
Lucky 😏
May 24, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Liverpool πŸ˜” Unlucky (-26) | Brentford 😏 Lucky (+26)

Liverpool created 2.90 xG. Brentford created 1.22 xG. The scoreboard read 1-1. The data says Liverpool deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatLiverpoolBrentford
xG2.901.22
Goals11
Shots (on target)24 (8)11 (2)
Shots inside box179
Possession60%40%
Corners142
GK saves17
Fouls99
Cards (Y/R)2/03/0

Key Events

58' Goal - C. Jones (assist: M. Salah) (Liverpool)

64' Goal - K. Schade (Brentford)

Verdict

- Liverpool created 2.90 xG, scored 1 - Brentford GK made 7 saves

CURSD Match Score: Liverpool -26 (Unlucky) | Brentford +26 (Lucky)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Liverpool deserved a better outcome.

Match Stats

LiverpoolBrentford
1Goals1
2.9xG1.2
24Shots11
60%Possession40%
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