Blog/⚽ Premier League

Everton Win It, but the Data Disagrees

xG: Newcastle 1.3 - 2.4 Everton. Newcastle on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 0-1.

0 - 1
xG: 1.3 - 2.4
NewcastlexG 1.33 β†’ 0 goals
1.33 xG left on the table
EvertonxG 2.36 β†’ 1 goal
1.36 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Newcastle
-30
Robbery 😀
Everton
+30
Heist πŸ€
November 2, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Newcastle 😀 Robbery (-30) | Everton πŸ€ Heist (+30)

Newcastle created 1.33 xG. Everton created 2.36 xG. The scoreboard read 0-1. The data says Newcastle deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatNewcastleEverton
xG1.332.36
Goals01
Shots (on target)17 (2)16 (5)
Shots inside box711
Possession52%48%
Corners45
GK saves42
Fouls139
Cards (Y/R)2/12/0

Key Events

49' Goal - Thierno Barry (Everton)

90'+8 Red card - Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Verdict

- Newcastle created 1.33 xG, scored 0 - Everton created 2.36 xG, scored 1 - Newcastle GK made 4 saves

CURSD Match Score: Newcastle -30 (Robbery) | Everton +30 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Newcastle had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

NewcastleEverton
0Goals1
1.3xG2.4
17Shots16
52%Possession48%
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Common Questions

Everton Win It, but the Data Disagrees?

xG: Newcastle 1.3 - 2.4 Everton. Newcastle on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 0-1.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Newcastle currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: xG: Newcastle 1.3 - 2.4 Everton. Newcastle on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 0-1.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Everton currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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