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22 pieces of CURSD analysis

MLB·August 14, 2026
The Pitching Luck Leaderboard: Who's Getting Burned by Batted-Ball Fortune
ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from luck and which are quietly riding it into August.
MLB·August 13, 2026
MLB's Hidden Curse: The Angels Season Nobody Is Talking About
Los Angeles is 4-9 in extra innings and four wins below expected, but the Mets hog all the sympathy.
MLB·August 7, 2026
The Ball Isn't Bouncing Evenly: MLB's wOBA-xwOBA Luck Rankings
Statcast's batting-luck signal says the Tigers and Angels can't buy a hit, while the Rays keep finding grass.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 3, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are getting quietly robbed by variance this summer.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 2, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets and Tigers Are Playing Better Than You Think
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline paint a different picture than the standings.
MLB·July 31, 2026
The Pitching Staffs Getting Cheated by Their Own Baseballs
Ranking every MLB team by ERA minus xERA, the Statcast signal that separates pitching skill from batted-ball fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 27, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they've already earned. The numbers are embarrassing.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 26, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets Are Drowning in Bad Luck, the Rays Are Surfing on Thin Air
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline, and why the standings aren't telling the whole story.
MLB·July 24, 2026
The Ball Isn't Lying, But the Results Are
Ranking every MLB team's batting luck by the gap between wOBA and expected wOBA at the 2026 midseason mark.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 20, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins the numbers say they earned. Here's the weekly cross-sport misery index.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 19, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets, Tigers, and Angels Are Better Than Their Records. The Rays Probably Aren't.
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the midseason mark, and what the underlying numbers suggest is coming.
MLB·July 17, 2026
The Pitching Luck Rankings: ERA vs. xERA at the 2026 All-Star Break
Statcast's expected ERA model reveals which staffs are getting burned by batted-ball luck and which are quietly cashing in.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 13, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are getting crushed by the gap between what they've earned and what they've gotten.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 12, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Six Wins Unluckier Than They Should Be
Detroit's Luck Index of -52 leads MLB's mid-July correction candidates.
MLB·July 10, 2026
The Batted Ball Luck Rankings at the All-Star Break
wOBA minus xwOBA tells us which MLB lineups are getting what they deserve, and which are being robbed.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 5, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 52 Points Unlucky and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.
MLB·July 3, 2026
The Pitching Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Burned by Batted Balls in 2026
ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are suffering from sequencing fate and which are riding unsustainable good fortune.
MLB·July 2, 2026
The Curse Nobody's Talking About: Inside the Angels' Quietly Hexed Season
Los Angeles ranks third in MLB's cursed standings, and almost no one has noticed.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 29, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are losing games the math says they shouldn't be. The numbers are striking.
MLB·June 26, 2026
The Batted-Ball Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Robbed at the Plate in 2026
Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which lineups are cursed by BABIP fate and which are cashing in on good fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 22, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Brooklyn, Sacramento, the Mets, Washington, and the Angels are all losing more than they should be.
MLB·May 15, 2026
The Ball Isn't Lying, But the Results Are
Ranking every MLB team's batting luck by the gap between wOBA and expected wOBA through mid-May 2026.