Chelsea Articles
11 pieces of CURSD analysis
⚽ Premier League·October 10, 2026
Chelsea Win It, but the Data Disagrees
Bournemouth created 1.5 xG but lost 5-1. The xG gap of 0.4 tells a different story.
⚽ Premier League·September 18, 2026
Chelsea Won the xG Battle. Lost the Match.
Chelsea created 0.0 xG but lost 3-0. The xG gap of 0.0 tells a different story.
⚽ Premier League·September 12, 2026
Hull City Draw Despite Matching Chelsea on xG
Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (xG: 0.0-0.0). The numbers match the result.
⚽ Premier League·September 9, 2026
Crystal Palace Are Conceding Goals That Shouldn't Exist
Ranking every Premier League team by the gap between goals conceded and expected goals against, three weeks into the season.
⚽ Premier League·May 19, 2026
Tottenham Deserved More. The Data Proves It.
Tottenham created 1.7 xG but lost 2-1. The xG gap of 1.1 tells a different story.
⚽ Premier League·May 9, 2026
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea: Deserved on Both Sides
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (xG: 0.6-0.5). The numbers match the result.
⚽ Premier League·May 4, 2026
0.1 xG Gap, Zero Points: Chelsea's Night in Numbers
xG: Chelsea 1.9 - 2.1 Nottingham Forest. Chelsea on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 1-3.
⚽ Premier League·April 22, 2026
The Finishing Gap: Premier League Teams Ranked by Shooting Luck
Crystal Palace have left 13.8 goals on the table this season. Tottenham have conjured 7.3 from thin air.
⚽ Premier League·April 21, 2026
Brighton 3-0 Chelsea: Were Chelsea Fair? CURSD Match Report
CURSD Luck Score: Chelsea Fair (-12) | Brighton Fair (+12). xG: 2.14-0.37.
⚽ Premier League·April 21, 2026
Regression Watch: The Premier League's Luck Ledger Is Wildly Unbalanced
Wolves are sitting 15 points below their expected total. Aston Villa are nearly 16 points above theirs.
⚽ Premier League·April 18, 2026
Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United: CURSD Match Report
xG: 1.57-0.29. Chelsea Cursed (-78) | Manchester United Lucky (+78).