Chelsea Articles
7 pieces of CURSD analysis
⚽ Premier League·May 19, 2026
Tottenham Deserved More. The Data Proves It.
Tottenham created 1.7 xG but lost 2-1. The xG gap of 1.1 tells a different story.
⚽ Premier League·May 9, 2026
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea: Deserved on Both Sides
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (xG: 0.6-0.5). The numbers match the result.
⚽ Premier League·May 4, 2026
0.1 xG Gap, Zero Points: Chelsea's Night in Numbers
xG: Chelsea 1.9 - 2.1 Nottingham Forest. Chelsea on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 1-3.
⚽ Premier League·April 22, 2026
The Finishing Gap: Premier League Teams Ranked by Shooting Luck
Crystal Palace have left 13.8 goals on the table this season. Tottenham have conjured 7.3 from thin air.
⚽ Premier League·April 21, 2026
Brighton 3-0 Chelsea: Were Chelsea Fair? CURSD Match Report
CURSD Luck Score: Chelsea Fair (-12) | Brighton Fair (+12). xG: 2.14-0.37.
⚽ Premier League·April 21, 2026
Regression Watch: The Premier League's Luck Ledger Is Wildly Unbalanced
Wolves are sitting 15 points below their expected total. Aston Villa are nearly 16 points above theirs.
⚽ Premier League·April 18, 2026
Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United: CURSD Match Report
xG: 1.57-0.29. Chelsea Cursed (-78) | Manchester United Lucky (+78).