Blog/⚽ Premier League

Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle: Were Newcastle Cursed? CURSD Match Report

CURSD Luck Score: Newcastle Cursed (-53) | Arsenal Lucky (+53). xG: 0.64-0.91.

1 - 0
xG: 0.6 - 0.9
ArsenalxG 0.64 β†’ 1 goal
NewcastlexG 0.91 β†’ 0 goals
0.91 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Newcastle
-53
Cursed πŸ’€
Arsenal
+53
Blessed 🎰
April 25, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Newcastle πŸ’€ Cursed (-53) | Arsenal 🎰 Blessed (+53)

Arsenal created 0.64 xG. Newcastle created 0.91 xG. The scoreboard read 1-0. The data says Newcastle deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatArsenalNewcastle
xG0.640.91
Goals10
Shots (on target)11 (4)13 (3)
Shots inside box66
Possession45%55%
Corners72
GK saves33
Fouls1310
Cards (Y/R)2/02/0

Key Events

9' Goal - E. Eze (assist: K. Havertz) (Arsenal)

Verdict

- Arsenal created 0.64 xG, scored 1 - Newcastle created 0.91 xG, scored 0 - Newcastle GK made 3 saves - Arsenal GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Newcastle -53 (Cursed) | Arsenal +53 (Blessed)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Newcastle were robbed by the data's standards.

Match Stats

ArsenalNewcastle
1Goals0
0.6xG0.9
11Shots13
45%Possession55%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Read next