Blog/⚽ Premier League

Newcastle 3-1 Brighton: Brighton Left Wondering What Went Wrong

Newcastle 3-1 Brighton (xG: 3.3-1.6). The numbers match the result.

3 - 1
xG: 3.3 - 1.6
NewcastlexG 3.27 β†’ 3 goals
BrightonxG 1.64 β†’ 1 goal
0.64 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Brighton
-26
Unlucky πŸ˜”
Newcastle
+26
Lucky 😏
May 2, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Brighton πŸ˜” Unlucky (-26) | Newcastle 😏 Lucky (+26)

Newcastle created 3.27 xG. Brighton created 1.64 xG. The scoreboard read 3-1. The data says Brighton deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatNewcastleBrighton
xG3.271.64
Goals31
Shots (on target)14 (6)13 (4)
Shots inside box1310
Possession33%67%
Corners210
GK saves34
Fouls1012
Cards (Y/R)3/03/0

Key Events

12' Goal - W. Osula (assist: J. Murphy) (Newcastle)

24' Goal - D. Burn (assist: Bruno Guimaraes) (Newcastle)

61' Goal - J. Hinshelwood (assist: D. Welbeck) (Brighton)

90'+5 Goal - H. Barnes (Newcastle)

Verdict

- Brighton created 1.64 xG, scored 1 - Brighton GK made 4 saves - Newcastle GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Brighton -26 (Unlucky) | Newcastle +26 (Lucky)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Brighton deserved a better outcome.

Match Stats

NewcastleBrighton
3Goals1
3.3xG1.6
14Shots13
33%Possession67%
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