Blog/⚽ Premier League

Everton Deserved a Point. The Data Says So.

Everton 3-3 Manchester City (xG: 2.8-1.4). The numbers match the result.

3 - 3
xG: 2.8 - 1.4
EvertonxG 2.77 β†’ 3 goals
Manchester CityxG 1.37 β†’ 3 goals
CURSD Verdict
Everton
-22
Unlucky πŸ˜”
Manchester City
+22
Lucky 😏
May 4, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Everton πŸ˜” Unlucky (-22) | Manchester City 😏 Lucky (+22)

Everton created 2.77 xG. Manchester City created 1.37 xG. The scoreboard read 3-3. The data says Everton deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatEvertonManchester City
xG2.771.37
Goals33
Shots (on target)14 (6)20 (4)
Shots inside box1012
Possession25%75%
Corners59
GK saves13
Fouls155
Cards (Y/R)4/01/0

Key Events

43' Goal - J. Doku (assist: R. Cherki) (Manchester City)

68' Goal - T. Barry (Everton)

73' Goal - J. O'Brien (assist: J. Garner) (Everton)

81' Goal - T. Barry (Everton)

83' Goal - E. Haaland (assist: M. Kovacic) (Manchester City)

90' Goal - J. Doku (assist: M. Guehi) (Manchester City)

Verdict

- Manchester City created 1.37 xG, scored 3 - Manchester City GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Everton -22 (Unlucky) | Manchester City +22 (Lucky)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Everton deserved a better outcome.

Match Stats

EvertonManchester City
3Goals3
2.8xG1.4
14Shots20
25%Possession75%
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