Blog/⚽ Premier League

The Data Agrees: Manchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest Was About Right

Manchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest (xG: 4.2-1.8). The numbers match the result.

Manchester UnitedxG 4.19 β†’ 3 goals
1.19 xG left on the table
Nottingham ForestxG 1.75 β†’ 2 goals
CURSD Verdict
Nottingham Forest
-10
Fair 😐
Manchester United
+10
Fair 😐
May 17, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Nottingham Forest 😐 Fair (-10) | Manchester United 😐 Fair (+10)

Manchester United created 4.19 xG. Nottingham Forest created 1.75 xG. The scoreboard read 3-2. The result broadly matches the underlying play.

The Data

StatManchester UnitedNottingham Forest
xG4.191.75
Goals32
Shots (on target)29 (8)11 (4)
Shots inside box2111
Possession49%51%
Corners76
GK saves25
Fouls115
Cards (Y/R)2/01/0

Key Events

5' Goal - L. Shaw (Manchester United)

53' Goal - Morato (assist: E. Anderson) (Nottingham Forest)

55' Goal - M. Cunha (Manchester United)

76' Goal - B. Mbeumo (assist: B. Fernandes) (Manchester United)

78' Goal - M. Gibbs-White (assist: E. Anderson) (Nottingham Forest)

Verdict

- Manchester United created 4.19 xG, scored 3 - Nottingham Forest GK made 5 saves

CURSD Match Score: Nottingham Forest -10 (Fair) | Manchester United +10 (Fair)

Neither team was significantly lucky or unlucky. The result reflects the balance of play.

Match Stats

Manchester UnitedNottingham Forest
3Goals2
4.2xG1.8
29Shots11
49%Possession51%
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