Blog/⚽ Premier League

The xG Told a Different Story: Leeds 3-0 West Ham

xG: West Ham 2.6 - 1.6 Leeds. Leeds on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 3-0.

3 - 0
xG: 2.6 - 1.6
West HamxG 2.62 β†’ 3 goals
LeedsxG 1.57 β†’ 0 goals
1.57 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Leeds
-40
Robbery 😀
West Ham
+40
Heist πŸ€
May 24, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Leeds 😀 Robbery (-40) | West Ham πŸ€ Heist (+40)

West Ham created 2.62 xG. Leeds created 1.57 xG. The scoreboard read 3-0. The data says Leeds deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatWest HamLeeds
xG2.621.57
Goals30
Shots (on target)16 (9)13 (3)
Shots inside box139
Possession42%58%
Corners64
GK saves35
Fouls1114
Cards (Y/R)0/03/0

Key Events

67' Goal - T. Castellanos (assist: J. Bowen) (West Ham)

79' Goal - J. Bowen (assist: M. Fernandes) (West Ham)

90' Goal - C. Wilson (assist: C. Summerville) (West Ham)

Verdict

- West Ham created 2.62 xG, scored 3 - Leeds created 1.57 xG, scored 0 - Leeds GK made 5 saves - West Ham GK made 3 saves - Leeds: 9 shots inside box, 0 goals

CURSD Match Score: Leeds -40 (Robbery) | West Ham +40 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Leeds had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

West HamLeeds
3Goals0
2.6xG1.6
16Shots13
42%Possession58%
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