Blog/⚽ Premier League

1.8 xG Gap, Zero Points: Nottingham Forest's Night in Numbers

xG: Ipswich 0.5 - 2.3 Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 1-1.

1 - 1
xG: 0.5 - 2.3
IpswichxG 0.49 β†’ 1 goal
Nottingham ForestxG 2.31 β†’ 1 goal
1.31 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Nottingham Forest
-38
Robbery 😀
Ipswich
+38
Heist πŸ€
October 23, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Nottingham Forest 😀 Robbery (-38) | Ipswich πŸ€ Heist (+38)

Ipswich created 0.49 xG. Nottingham Forest created 2.31 xG. The scoreboard read 1-1. The data says Nottingham Forest deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatIpswichNottingham Forest
xG0.492.31
Goals11
Shots (on target)7 (3)17 (5)
Shots inside box315
Possession49%51%
Corners05
GK saves32
Fouls911
Cards (Y/R)1/01/0

Key Events

13' Goal - Neco Williams (assist: Daniel MuΓ±oz) (Nottingham Forest)

41' Goal - Julio Enciso (Ipswich)

Verdict

- Ipswich created 0.49 xG, scored 1 - Nottingham Forest created 2.31 xG, scored 1 - Ipswich GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Nottingham Forest -38 (Robbery) | Ipswich +38 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Nottingham Forest had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

IpswichNottingham Forest
1Goals1
0.5xG2.3
7Shots17
49%Possession51%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Common Questions

1.8 xG Gap, Zero Points: Nottingham Forest's Night in Numbers?

xG: Ipswich 0.5 - 2.3 Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 1-1.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Nottingham Forest currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: xG: Ipswich 0.5 - 2.3 Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 1-1.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Ipswich currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

Read next