⚽ Bundesliga Articles
Every CURSD piece on Bundesliga. Season retrospectives, regression watches, and signal rankings.
9 articles
October 13, 2026
Regression Watch: Gladbach's Luck Index Screams for Correction, Freiburg and Elversberg Skating on Thin Ice
The Bundesliga's biggest xPoints gaps are flashing warning signs through matchday seven.
October 10, 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach Are the Bundesliga's Most Cursed Team. The Numbers Confirm It.
Gladbach have zero points from four matches, but the underlying data says they should have at least three.
September 30, 2026
Werder Bremen Are Scoring Goals That Shouldn't Exist
Ranking every Bundesliga team by finishing luck, the gap between goals scored and expected goals, through late September 2026.
September 15, 2026
Bundesliga Regression Watch: The Luck Ledger Is Overdrawn
Gladbach sit 2.68 xPoints below their actual total, and Freiburg's shine is almost entirely borrowed.
September 5, 2026
Bayer Leverkusen Are the Bundesliga's Most Cursed Team and It's Not Even Close
A Luck Index of 5 and a 1.77 xPoints deficit after matchday one make the defending champions statistically snakebitten.
May 13, 2026
The Bundesliga's 16.5-Point Luck Gap Is Hiding Two Different Realities
Wolfsburg's actual record says relegation scrap. Their underlying numbers say comfortable midtable. Bayern's title dominance, meanwhile, came with a 16.5-point tailwind.
May 12, 2026
Regression Watch: The Bundesliga's Luck Ledger Is Overdrawn
Wolfsburg are 12 expected points below their actual total. The math has questions.
April 25, 2026
VfL Wolfsburg Are the Bundesliga's Most Cursed Team. The Numbers Agree.
Wolfsburg have lost 8.89 points to variance this season. Nobody else in Germany comes close.
April 16, 2026
VfL Wolfsburg Are the Bundesliga's Most Cursed Team. The Math Isn't Even Close.
Wolfsburg have lost 11.6 points to variance this season. No one else in Germany comes close.