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25 pieces of CURSD analysis

๐Ÿ† eplยทOctober 20, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 7: Sell, Buy, Hold
8 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
๐Ÿ† eplยทOctober 13, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 6: Sell, Buy, Hold
7 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
๐Ÿ† eplยทOctober 6, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 5: Sell, Buy, Hold
3 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
๐Ÿ† eplยทSeptember 29, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 5: Sell, Buy, Hold
3 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
๐Ÿ† eplยทSeptember 22, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 5: Sell, Buy, Hold
3 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทSeptember 18, 2026
Chelsea Won the xG Battle. Lost the Match.
Chelsea created 0.0 xG but lost 3-0. The xG gap of 0.0 tells a different story.
๐Ÿ† eplยทSeptember 15, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 4: Sell, Buy, Hold
5 attackers running ahead of their xG, 6 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทSeptember 12, 2026
Close but Cursed: Brentford Fall Short Against Bournemouth
Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford (xG: 0.0-0.0). The numbers match the result.
๐Ÿ† eplยทSeptember 8, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 3: Sell, Buy, Hold
2 attackers running ahead of their xG, 5 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทSeptember 5, 2026
Brentford 1-1 Sunderland: Fair Split or Someone Got Cheated?
Brentford 1-1 Sunderland (xG: 0.0-0.0). The numbers match the result.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทMay 24, 2026
Liverpool Deserved a Point. The Data Says So.
Liverpool 1-1 Brentford (xG: 2.9-1.2). The numbers match the result.
๐Ÿ† eplยทMay 19, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 37: Sell, Buy, Hold
8 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทMay 17, 2026
Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace: No Complaints, According to xG
Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace (xG: 2.0-1.7). The numbers match the result.
๐Ÿ† eplยทMay 12, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 36: Sell, Buy, Hold
8 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทMay 9, 2026
The Data Agrees: Manchester City 3-0 Brentford Was About Right
Manchester City 3-0 Brentford (xG: 3.0-0.2). The numbers match the result.
๐Ÿ† eplยทMay 5, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 35: Sell, Buy, Hold
8 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทMay 2, 2026
How West Ham Got Cursed Against Brentford
xG: Brentford 2.1 - 0.7 West Ham. West Ham on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 3-0.
๐Ÿ† eplยทApril 28, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 34: Sell, Buy, Hold
8 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทApril 27, 2026
Manchester United 2-1 Brentford: Were Brentford Robbery? CURSD Match Report
CURSD Luck Score: Brentford Robbery (-45) | Manchester United Lucky (+45). xG: 1.36-1.17.
๐Ÿ† eplยทApril 23, 2026
CURSD Projected EOY EPL Standings: Arsenal Edges Manchester City on Goal Difference
With 5 games left, the CURSD model projects Arsenal as champions, Aston Villa as the fourth Champions League side, and Wolves as the team going down. Full table with projected GS, GA, and GD.
๐Ÿ† eplยทApril 23, 2026
FPL Regression Watch โ€” Gameweek 33: Sell, Buy, Hold
8 attackers running ahead of their xG, 8 attackers running behind. The CURSD finishing-variance read on every Premier League team's most-owned FPL assets.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทApril 22, 2026
The Finishing Gap: Premier League Teams Ranked by Shooting Luck
Crystal Palace have left 13.8 goals on the table this season. Tottenham have conjured 7.3 from thin air.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทApril 18, 2026
Brentford 0-0 Fulham: CURSD Match Report
xG: 1.36-0.74. Brentford Unlucky (-26) | Fulham Lucky (+26).
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทApril 18, 2026
Brentford 0-0 Fulham: Leno, a Post, and 1.36 xG Worth of Nothing
Brentford created 1.36 xG, hit the post, and watched Leno make a 90th-minute save that goes in the vast majority of the time. Fulham had zero shots on target.
โšฝ Premier LeagueยทFebruary 1, 2026
Aston Villa Create 2.4 xG and Lose to 10-Man Brentford
27 shots, 72% possession, a numerical advantage, and a VAR-disallowed goal. Brentford needed 0.4 xG.