Rays Articles
23 pieces of CURSD analysis
⚾ MLB·September 4, 2026
The Batted-Ball Luck Standings: Who's Getting Robbed and Who's Getting Away With It
Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which MLB lineups are running into walls, and which ones are finding holes that shouldn't exist.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 30, 2026
Regression Watch: The Giants Are 4.8 Points Underwater and the Rays Are Floating on Air
MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into September, and what the numbers say is coming.
⚾ MLB·August 28, 2026
The Pitching Luck Gap: Which MLB Staffs Are Getting Burned by Batted-Ball Fortune
ERA minus xERA reveals which rotations are victims of sequencing and which are riding unsustainable results.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 23, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 12 Points Below Expected and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's luck index sits at -64, the most extreme gap in baseball right now.
⚾ MLB·August 21, 2026
The Batted Ball Luck Report: Who's Getting Robbed and Who's Getting Away With It
Ranking every MLB team's wOBA-minus-xwOBA gap as the season enters its final stretch.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 16, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 10 Wins Below Expectation and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index of -58 leads MLB's most extreme correction candidates heading into late August.
⚾ MLB·August 14, 2026
The Pitching Luck Leaderboard: Who's Getting Burned by Batted-Ball Fortune
ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from luck and which are quietly riding it into August.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 9, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are 10.7 Wins Below Where They Should Be
Detroit's luck index of -57 leads a week of extreme variance signals across MLB.
⚾ MLB·August 7, 2026
The Ball Isn't Bouncing Evenly: MLB's wOBA-xwOBA Luck Rankings
Statcast's batting-luck signal says the Tigers and Angels can't buy a hit, while the Rays keep finding grass.
🏆 Cross-Sport·August 2, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets and Tigers Are Playing Better Than You Think
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline paint a different picture than the standings.
⚾ MLB·July 31, 2026
The Pitching Staffs Getting Cheated by Their Own Baseballs
Ranking every MLB team by ERA minus xERA, the Statcast signal that separates pitching skill from batted-ball fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 26, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets Are Drowning in Bad Luck, the Rays Are Surfing on Thin Air
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline, and why the standings aren't telling the whole story.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 19, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets, Tigers, and Angels Are Better Than Their Records. The Rays Probably Aren't.
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the midseason mark, and what the underlying numbers suggest is coming.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 12, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Six Wins Unluckier Than They Should Be
Detroit's Luck Index of -52 leads MLB's mid-July correction candidates.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 5, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 52 Points Unlucky and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.
⚾ MLB·July 3, 2026
The Pitching Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Burned by Batted Balls in 2026
ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are suffering from sequencing fate and which are riding unsustainable good fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 28, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets Are Carrying the Heaviest Luck Deficit in Baseball
New York's Luck Index sits at -61, and three AL East-adjacent clubs aren't far behind.
⚾ MLB·June 26, 2026
The Batted-Ball Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Robbed at the Plate in 2026
Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which lineups are cursed by BABIP fate and which are cashing in on good fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 21, 2026
Regression Watch: The Season's Biggest Luck Gaps, and What They Mean Now
Brooklyn's -60 Luck Index led all US sports this season. The playoffs don't care, but the data remembers.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 14, 2026
Regression Watch: The Luck Ledger Closes on the 2025-26 Season
The Nets finished nearly six points below expectation, and the Canadiens rode a Luck Index of 68 into the postseason.
🏆 Cross-Sport·May 31, 2026
Regression Watch: The Luck Ledger Comes Due
A season-end reckoning for the NBA and NHL's biggest variance outliers, plus an MLB team riding fumes.
⚾ MLB·May 22, 2026
The Pitching Luck Index: Who's Getting Burned and Who's Getting Away With It
ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from bad luck on batted balls and which are riding a wave of good fortune.
⚾ MLB·May 15, 2026
The Ball Isn't Lying, But the Results Are
Ranking every MLB team's batting luck by the gap between wOBA and expected wOBA through mid-May 2026.