Rays Articles
11 pieces of CURSD analysis
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 19, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets, Tigers, and Angels Are Better Than Their Records. The Rays Probably Aren't.
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the midseason mark, and what the underlying numbers suggest is coming.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 12, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Six Wins Unluckier Than They Should Be
Detroit's Luck Index of -52 leads MLB's mid-July correction candidates.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 5, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 52 Points Unlucky and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.
⚾ MLB·July 3, 2026
The Pitching Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Burned by Batted Balls in 2026
ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are suffering from sequencing fate and which are riding unsustainable good fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 28, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets Are Carrying the Heaviest Luck Deficit in Baseball
New York's Luck Index sits at -61, and three AL East-adjacent clubs aren't far behind.
⚾ MLB·June 26, 2026
The Batted-Ball Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Robbed at the Plate in 2026
Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which lineups are cursed by BABIP fate and which are cashing in on good fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 21, 2026
Regression Watch: The Season's Biggest Luck Gaps, and What They Mean Now
Brooklyn's -60 Luck Index led all US sports this season. The playoffs don't care, but the data remembers.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 14, 2026
Regression Watch: The Luck Ledger Closes on the 2025-26 Season
The Nets finished nearly six points below expectation, and the Canadiens rode a Luck Index of 68 into the postseason.
🏆 Cross-Sport·May 31, 2026
Regression Watch: The Luck Ledger Comes Due
A season-end reckoning for the NBA and NHL's biggest variance outliers, plus an MLB team riding fumes.
⚾ MLB·May 22, 2026
The Pitching Luck Index: Who's Getting Burned and Who's Getting Away With It
ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from bad luck on batted balls and which are riding a wave of good fortune.
⚾ MLB·May 15, 2026
The Ball Isn't Lying, But the Results Are
Ranking every MLB team's batting luck by the gap between wOBA and expected wOBA through mid-May 2026.