Giants Articles

From Detroit to Valencia, the numbers say these five clubs deserved better.

The regular season is over, and the variance ledger is wide open.

From Detroit to Mönchengladbach, the numbers say these five deserved better.

The Tigers finished 12.6 points below expected. The Rays overshot by nearly eight. The postseason won't care.

From the MLB postseason to Serie A's basement, five clubs the numbers say deserved better.

The regular season is over, but the underlying numbers tell a different story than the final standings.

From MLB's basement to Europe's early-season cellar, the numbers say all five deserve better.

MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into the final week, and what the underlying numbers actually say.

ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are absorbing bad luck and which are riding good fortune into late September.

From Detroit to Valencia, the numbers say these five deserve better than their records show.

MLB's biggest luck gaps heading into the final stretch, and what the underlying numbers actually show.

Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which MLB lineups are running into walls, literally, and which ones keep finding grass.

From Detroit to Valencia, the numbers say these clubs deserve better than their records suggest.

Detroit's luck index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.

San Francisco ranks third in MLB luck rankings, and the evidence is quietly damning.

From Detroit to Valencia, five clubs the numbers say deserve better than their records show.

MLB's luck index finds six teams whose records are lying to the standings.

Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which MLB lineups are running into walls, and which ones are finding holes that shouldn't exist.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they mathematically earned. The numbers are merciless.

MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into September, and what the numbers say is coming.

ERA minus xERA reveals which rotations are victims of sequencing and which are riding unsustainable results.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they mathematically earned. Here's who's getting robbed.

Detroit's luck index sits at -64, the most extreme gap in baseball right now.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they mathematically earned. The Pythagorean theorem is merciless.

Detroit's Luck Index of -58 leads MLB's most extreme correction candidates heading into late August.

ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from luck and which are quietly riding it into August.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they've statistically earned. The numbers are not subtle.

Detroit's luck index of -57 leads a week of extreme variance signals across MLB.

Statcast's batting-luck signal says the Tigers and Angels can't buy a hit, while the Rays keep finding grass.

San Francisco is 10-20 in one-run games and losing nearly four more wins than expected. Nobody noticed.

Ranking every MLB team by ERA minus xERA, the Statcast signal that separates pitching skill from batted-ball fortune.