Tigers Articles

From Detroit to Valencia, the numbers say these five clubs deserved better.

The regular season is over, and the variance ledger is wide open.

From Detroit to Mönchengladbach, the numbers say these five deserved better.

The Tigers finished 12.6 points below expected. The Rays overshot by nearly eight. The postseason won't care.

From the MLB postseason to Serie A's basement, five clubs the numbers say deserved better.

The regular season is over, but the underlying numbers tell a different story than the final standings.

From MLB's basement to Europe's early-season cellar, the numbers say all five deserve better.

MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into the final week, and what the underlying numbers actually say.

ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are absorbing bad luck and which are riding good fortune into late September.

Detroit outscored opponents by 71 runs and still finished 11 games under .500.

From Detroit to Valencia, the numbers say these five deserve better than their records show.

MLB's biggest luck gaps heading into the final stretch, and what the underlying numbers actually show.

Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which MLB lineups are running into walls, literally, and which ones keep finding grass.

From Detroit to Valencia, the numbers say these clubs deserve better than their records suggest.

Detroit's luck index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.

ERA minus xERA reveals which rotations are cursed by batted-ball fortune and which are quietly banking results they haven't earned.

From Detroit to Valencia, five clubs the numbers say deserve better than their records show.

MLB's luck index finds six teams whose records are lying to the standings.

Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which MLB lineups are running into walls, and which ones are finding holes that shouldn't exist.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they mathematically earned. The numbers are merciless.

MLB's biggest luck divergences heading into September, and what the numbers say is coming.

ERA minus xERA reveals which rotations are victims of sequencing and which are riding unsustainable results.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they mathematically earned. Here's who's getting robbed.

Detroit's luck index sits at -64, the most extreme gap in baseball right now.

Ranking every MLB team's wOBA-minus-xwOBA gap as the season enters its final stretch.

Detroit is the most cursed team in baseball, and the math is not even close.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they mathematically earned. The Pythagorean theorem is merciless.

Detroit's Luck Index of -58 leads MLB's most extreme correction candidates heading into late August.

ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from luck and which are quietly riding it into August.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they've statistically earned. The numbers are not subtle.

Detroit's luck index of -57 leads a week of extreme variance signals across MLB.

Statcast's batting-luck signal says the Tigers and Angels can't buy a hit, while the Rays keep finding grass.

Three MLB clubs are getting quietly robbed by variance this summer.

MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline paint a different picture than the standings.

Ranking every MLB team by ERA minus xERA, the Statcast signal that separates pitching skill from batted-ball fortune.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins they've already earned. The numbers are embarrassing.

MLB's biggest luck gaps at the deadline, and why the standings aren't telling the whole story.

Ranking every MLB team's batting luck by the gap between wOBA and expected wOBA at the 2026 midseason mark.

Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins the numbers say they earned. Here's the weekly cross-sport misery index.

MLB's biggest luck gaps at the midseason mark, and what the underlying numbers suggest is coming.

Statcast's expected ERA model reveals which staffs are getting burned by batted-ball luck and which are quietly cashing in.

Detroit's run differential says playoff contender. Their record says last place.

Three MLB clubs are getting crushed by the gap between what they've earned and what they've gotten.

Detroit's Luck Index of -52 leads MLB's mid-July correction candidates.

wOBA minus xwOBA tells us which MLB lineups are getting what they deserve, and which are being robbed.

Three MLB clubs are running historically behind their underlying numbers this summer.

Detroit's Luck Index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.

ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are suffering from sequencing fate and which are riding unsustainable good fortune.

Three MLB clubs are losing games the math says they shouldn't be. The numbers are striking.

New York's Luck Index sits at -61, and three AL East-adjacent clubs aren't far behind.

Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which lineups are cursed by BABIP fate and which are cashing in on good fortune.

The Tigers are MLB's second-most cursed team this season, and almost nobody has noticed.

ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from bad luck on batted balls and which are riding a wave of good fortune.