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Tigers Articles

15 pieces of CURSD analysis

🏆 Cross-Sport·July 20, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are bleeding wins the numbers say they earned. Here's the weekly cross-sport misery index.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 19, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets, Tigers, and Angels Are Better Than Their Records. The Rays Probably Aren't.
MLB's biggest luck gaps at the midseason mark, and what the underlying numbers suggest is coming.
MLB·July 17, 2026
The Pitching Luck Rankings: ERA vs. xERA at the 2026 All-Star Break
Statcast's expected ERA model reveals which staffs are getting burned by batted-ball luck and which are quietly cashing in.
MLB·July 16, 2026
The Tigers Are 6.7 Wins Below Where Math Says They Should Be
Detroit's run differential says playoff contender. Their record says last place.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 13, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are getting crushed by the gap between what they've earned and what they've gotten.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 12, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Six Wins Unluckier Than They Should Be
Detroit's Luck Index of -52 leads MLB's mid-July correction candidates.
MLB·July 10, 2026
The Batted Ball Luck Rankings at the All-Star Break
wOBA minus xwOBA tells us which MLB lineups are getting what they deserve, and which are being robbed.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 6, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are running historically behind their underlying numbers this summer.
🏆 Cross-Sport·July 5, 2026
Regression Watch: The Tigers Are Running 52 Points Unlucky and the Market Hasn't Caught Up
Detroit's Luck Index is the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's is the best. The math has opinions.
MLB·July 3, 2026
The Pitching Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Burned by Batted Balls in 2026
ERA minus xERA reveals which staffs are suffering from sequencing fate and which are riding unsustainable good fortune.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 29, 2026
The Five Unluckiest Teams in World Sport Right Now
Three MLB clubs are losing games the math says they shouldn't be. The numbers are striking.
🏆 Cross-Sport·June 28, 2026
Regression Watch: The Mets Are Carrying the Heaviest Luck Deficit in Baseball
New York's Luck Index sits at -61, and three AL East-adjacent clubs aren't far behind.
MLB·June 26, 2026
The Batted-Ball Luck Rankings: Who's Getting Robbed at the Plate in 2026
Statcast's wOBA-minus-xwOBA signal reveals which lineups are cursed by BABIP fate and which are cashing in on good fortune.
MLB·June 11, 2026
The Curse Hiding in Plain Sight in Detroit
The Tigers are MLB's second-most cursed team this season, and almost nobody has noticed.
MLB·May 22, 2026
The Pitching Luck Index: Who's Getting Burned and Who's Getting Away With It
ERA minus xERA reveals which MLB staffs are suffering from bad luck on batted balls and which are riding a wave of good fortune.