May 26, 2026
The Hidden Curse of Serie A
Hellas Verona's underlying numbers say they should have 43 points. They finished with 21.
May 23, 2026
Pisa Are 22 Points Worse Than They Should Be. That's Not a Typo.
Serie A's most cursed team has a 40-point expected tally and an 18-point reality.
May 6, 2026
Serie A's Finishing Luck Rankings: Who's Converting and Who's Cursed
Fiorentina have buried 38 goals from 50.7 xG worth of chances. Inter have turned 66.7 xG into 82 goals. The gap is enormous.
May 5, 2026
Serie A Regression Watch: Pisa's 20-Point xPoints Deficit and Inter's Charmed Life
The expected-points model sees a different table than the one Serie A is showing you.
April 25, 2026
The Hidden Curse of Serie A
Hellas Verona's underlying numbers say 39 points. The table says 18.
April 18, 2026
Pisa Are Serie A's Most Cursed Team. The Numbers Confirm What Their Fans Already Knew.
A -16.12 xPoints delta makes Pisa the unluckiest side in Italian football this season.
April 16, 2026
Pisa Are Serie A's Most Cursed Team. The Math Says They Should Have Nearly Twice Their Points.
A 16-point gap between expected and actual points makes Pisa the unluckiest side in Italy.
April 15, 2026
The Hidden Curse of Serie A: Fiorentina's Season of Vanishing Goals
Fiorentina have created enough chances for 47 goals. They've scored 37. The table doesn't forgive that.
April 5, 2026
Roma Concede Five Goals From 1.5 xG Worth of Chances
Inter needed roughly three half-chances to score five times. Roma were there for all of it.